TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe37f…6635

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Shuai Zhang vs Maria Timofeevabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Winston-Salem Open: Luca Van Assche vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+45%+$6.47
ITF M15 Mar del Plata Men: Tobia Grandinetti vs Santiago De la Fuentebacked Santiago De la Fuente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$14.19
ITF W35 Trieste Women: Carolina Dibenedetto vs Maria Andrienkobacked Maria Andrienko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$12.04
ITF W15 Monastir 22 Women: Zala Bizjak vs Grace Dollarbacked Zala Bizjak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$10.73
ITF M15 Maanshan 8 Men: Xirui Han vs Natsuki Yamamotobacked Xirui Han · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$9.73
ITF M15 Maanshan 8 Men: Vladimir Osminkin vs Reiya Komagatabacked Reiya Komagata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$12.6
ITF M15 Maanshan 8 Men: Shu Muto vs Denis Vishenchuk Vishenkobacked Shu Muto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Maria Kalyakina vs Maiko Uchijimabacked Maria Kalyakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.5
Monterrey Open: Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moellerbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$5.66
Kingston 2: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Andrew Fentybacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
US Open, Qualification ATP: Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travagliabacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$23.59
Philadelphia: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
ITF M15 Krakow Men: Pawel Juszczak vs Mate Valkuszbacked Mate Valkusz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.25
ITF M15 Lambermont Men: Deney Wassermann vs Romain Fauconbacked Deney Wassermann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
ITF M15 Lambermont Men: Jack Loge vs Stijn Paardekooperbacked Jack Loge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$4.21
ITF M15 Arad Men: Fermin Tenti vs Iannis Miletichbacked Iannis Miletich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.57
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Rinko Matsuda vs Ya Yi Yangbacked Ya Yi Yang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Eva Marie Desvignes vs Sunam Jeongbacked Sunam Jeong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$12.73
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Isaac Becroft vs M Rifqi Fitriadibacked M Rifqi Fitriadi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66%+$46.57
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Meng Yi Chen vs Sijia Weibacked Sijia Wei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.59
Cancun: Moise Kouame vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$11.7
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Weiyi Kong vs M Rifqi Fitriadibacked M Rifqi Fitriadi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$9.79
Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Laslo Djerebacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$3.8
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stagebacked BORRACHEIROS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$4.65
Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Just Swing (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Kaleido Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$6.34
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$8.01
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players - Map 1 Winnerbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$9.31
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$12.62
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$14.25
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Younglings (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$55.42
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.63
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$4.96
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked MEIA NOITE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Counter-Strike: pugdesonesto vs QUINTESSÊNCIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked pugdesonesto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Bbacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Dbacked BakS eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$3.23
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Teletubisie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$4.33
Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Cbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$14.46
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$4.89
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$5.14
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 1 Winnerbacked Patins da Ferrari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Dbacked Privateer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$4.62
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS - Game 2 Winnerbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$4.32
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.67
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team AION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26%+$8.33
Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked KW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.78
Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$4.06
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team AION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$4.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 192.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$8.2
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+31%+$3.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$7.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.