TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Just Playersof HyperSpirit, Just Players
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Just Players66c6,843$4,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.555,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed HyperSpirit35c2,590$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.436663.6%42 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed HyperSpirit35c2,156$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.721,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked HyperSpirit34c2,106$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.0447836.8%176 W · 302 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked HyperSpirit36c1,750$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9935347.9%169 W · 184 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Just Players66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1459055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked HyperSpirit15c1,302$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.022,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked HyperSpirit2c1,150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2316311.7%19 W · 144 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Just Players41c999.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9926939%105 W · 164 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Just Players72c926.41$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.439064.4%251 W · 139 L+47.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed HyperSpirit9c825.23$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.141,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed HyperSpirit33c825$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.254163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Just Players65c712.4$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.741,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Just Players49c694.4$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.385466.7%36 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked HyperSpirit40c626.42$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1418135.9%65 W · 116 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Just Players36c609.65$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.0134356.6%194 W · 149 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Just Players66c606.2$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9145854.8%251 W · 207 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Just Players66c606.05$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.061,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed HyperSpirit2c604$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.513337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b0…df70backed Just Players64c603.72$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.343956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af0…fea7backed HyperSpirit34c534.2$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.672740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed HyperSpirit40c452.99$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.248251.7%249 W · 233 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3187…f61abacked HyperSpirit34c440.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.943158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Just Players52c419.81$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.413,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed HyperSpirit43c413.45$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5134941.5%145 W · 204 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed HyperSpirit33c411.18$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6923732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed HyperSpirit33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked HyperSpirit33c383.45$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5416343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked HyperSpirit35c355.63$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.993,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed HyperSpirit49c344.89$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2210747.7%51 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Just Players46c300$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.655441.2%228 W · 326 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0192…ba59backed HyperSpirit35c271.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-51.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked HyperSpirit36c249.78$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5220355.2%112 W · 91 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Just Players32c246$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0462048.2%299 W · 321 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Just Players42c230.19$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.518837.5%33 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Just Players49c227.05$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.961,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked HyperSpirit47c217.15$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.432,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9c…91e9backed HyperSpirit33c206.21$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.05560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+107.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked HyperSpirit51c204.57$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9438444.3%170 W · 214 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c4…8930backed HyperSpirit34c194.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666237.1%23 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Just Players42c180.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.654,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed HyperSpirit35c174.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4515746.5%73 W · 84 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed HyperSpirit22c172.65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.291,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HyperSpirit20c160$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.495,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed HyperSpirit35c157.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8213…711cbacked HyperSpirit50c150$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.55466.7%36 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed HyperSpirit34c148.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.089735.1%34 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7955…ce08backed HyperSpirit35c140.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x327a…3480backed HyperSpirit36c140.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509050%45 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed HyperSpirit59c137.45$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.864,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed HyperSpirit38c131.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked HyperSpirit57c130$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.120248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x292a…d1acbacked HyperSpirit39c128$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed HyperSpirit41c124$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.083754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Just Players62c121.84$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.374633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Just Players45c121$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.722,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Just Players63c113.84$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit60c112.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.677,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed HyperSpirit40c110.69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8578952%410 W · 379 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed HyperSpirit34c105$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3832949.2%162 W · 167 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Just Players66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3485351.7%441 W · 412 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Just Players66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3435857.8%207 W · 151 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed HyperSpirit41c93.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2538841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked HyperSpirit42c91.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.442,08447%979 W · 1,105 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed HyperSpirit34c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61,06937.8%404 W · 665 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed HyperSpirit34c87.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015047.3%71 W · 79 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked HyperSpirit35c86.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010044%44 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed HyperSpirit33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.418536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed HyperSpirit57c75.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.255834.5%20 W · 38 L-9.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked HyperSpirit52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7549041.8%205 W · 285 L-18.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…ae14backed HyperSpirit45c71.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326762.7%42 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed Just Players21c70.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.017915.2%12 W · 67 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-56.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked HyperSpirit42c68.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.911149.5%55 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd1…9ac5backed Just Players64c64.92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.372250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Just Players63c60.13$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1383556.2%469 W · 366 L+31.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86dd…1af2backed HyperSpirit57c59.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.192638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe607…6bf6backed HyperSpirit23c59.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20f4…8b5ebacked HyperSpirit33c59.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c55…8dedbacked HyperSpirit36c58.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2510346.6%48 W · 55 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked HyperSpirit71c53.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1958345.3%264 W · 319 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b4…6815backed Just Players66c52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.623265.1%151 W · 81 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…b9f9backed HyperSpirit36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183040%12 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb7a…b8bdbacked HyperSpirit60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306671.2%47 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked HyperSpirit63c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.48564.7%55 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked HyperSpirit60c48.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.491,31851.7%682 W · 636 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Just Players26c48.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5823226.3%61 W · 171 L-15.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Just Players26c48.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5817626.1%46 W · 130 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked HyperSpirit37c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.761,03454.9%568 W · 466 L-2.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17d…19d7backed HyperSpirit33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed HyperSpirit35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145048%24 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked HyperSpirit46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.462,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed Just Players42c39.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.29348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Just Players49c37.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.122,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Just Players37c37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.162,34346.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L-49.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f11…7031backed HyperSpirit80c36.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564a…8871backed HyperSpirit63c35.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Just Players74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2239072.3%282 W · 108 L+37.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed HyperSpirit58c33.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.183850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Just Players58c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0148543.1%209 W · 276 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.