CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffd5dca1cfe352d18fc5122f4eb17765aa28a07f37c848082266b8d00dd76a58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof HyperSpirit, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Just Players | 48c | 1,751$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.71 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HyperSpirit | 60c | 758.32$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.59 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Just Players | 53c | 604.06$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.02 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked HyperSpirit | 47c | 389.05$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.85 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 369.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HyperSpirit | 38c | 345.19$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.55 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HyperSpirit | 69c | 299.73$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HyperSpirit | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed HyperSpirit | 41c | 240$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked HyperSpirit | 46c | 225.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.41 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Just Players | 45c | 210$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Just Players | 43c | 203$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HyperSpirit | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked HyperSpirit | 33c | 199$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HyperSpirit | 36c | 188$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Just Players | 41c | 137.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 133.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked HyperSpirit | 43c | 109.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked HyperSpirit | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HyperSpirit | 49c | 83.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked HyperSpirit | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Just Players | 30c | 73.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 32c | 60.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Just Players | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Just Players | 52c | 56.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Just Players | 54c | 50.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked HyperSpirit | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Just Players | 29c | 48.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Just Players | 52c | 44.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…b1d2backed Just Players | 30c | 33.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Just Players | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed Just Players | 47c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Just Players | 56c | 20.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Just Players | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Just Players | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerJust Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.