CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdba94de111ac4e0ecbb4f6025def411a4462b3b4e91e36c7e8dc710c4a63e576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof HyperSpirit, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Just Players | 53c | 1,149$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.25 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Just Players | 52c | 678.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.72 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed HyperSpirit | 64c | 490$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.7 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Just Players | 53c | 466.94$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HyperSpirit | 46c | 399.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HyperSpirit | 16c | 395.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed HyperSpirit | 38c | 392.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked HyperSpirit | 49c | 213.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Just Players | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Just Players | 54c | 186.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HyperSpirit | 60c | 185.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HyperSpirit | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Just Players | 66c | 174.63$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed HyperSpirit | 41c | 155.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Just Players | 59c | 147.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Just Players | 58c | 143.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit | 43c | 130.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked HyperSpirit | 40c | 124$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HyperSpirit | 38c | 124$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 117.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HyperSpirit | 40c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked HyperSpirit | 18c | 106.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked HyperSpirit | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Just Players | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed HyperSpirit | 45c | 85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed HyperSpirit | 27c | 84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Just Players | 39c | 72.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HyperSpirit | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Just Players | 45c | 68.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked HyperSpirit | 75c | 66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Just Players | 56c | 61.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Just Players | 52c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked HyperSpirit | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked HyperSpirit | 42c | 44.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed HyperSpirit | 30c | 43.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed HyperSpirit | 30c | 41.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed HyperSpirit | 30c | 41.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 38.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Just Players | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…0b6cbacked Just Players | 72c | 36.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 56c | 32.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Just Players | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Just Players | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.