CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: pugdesonesto vs QUINTESSÊNCIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe700eece755b687a71fdeb793a4ec60579a0455ff8e50f10a698561d6d70175c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUINTESSÊNCIAof pugdesonesto, QUINTESSÊNCIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b3…70adbacked pugdesonesto | 3c | 5,650$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked pugdesonesto | 6c | 1,963$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked pugdesonesto | 21c | 1,350$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked pugdesonesto | 36c | 544.67$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.51 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked pugdesonesto | 42c | 520.9$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked pugdesonesto | 7c | 502.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 48c | 433.4$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.96 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed pugdesonesto | 6c | 286.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked pugdesonesto | 11c | 277.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 45c | 238.46$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked pugdesonesto | 55c | 198.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 54c | 195.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…54c5backed pugdesonesto | 14c | 191.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked pugdesonesto | 6c | 170.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked pugdesonesto | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed pugdesonesto | 32c | 143.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed pugdesonesto | 29c | 135.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed pugdesonesto | 20c | 121.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed pugdesonesto | 36c | 94.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed pugdesonesto | 51c | 84.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked pugdesonesto | 36c | 74.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 58c | 55.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed pugdesonesto | 62c | 46.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 62c | 40.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed pugdesonesto | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked pugdesonesto | 43c | 33.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked pugdesonesto | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: pugdesonesto vs QUINTESSÊNCIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: pugdesonesto vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 PlayoffsQUINTESSÊNCIA won
- Counter-Strike: pugdesonesto vs QUINTESSÊNCIA - Map 2 WinnerQUINTESSÊNCIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.