TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUSTECof Black Phoenix, ex-RUSTEC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,474

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0f00…0e92backed ex-RUSTEC52c1,572$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Black Phoenix60c1,558$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.381,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff6…1963backed Black Phoenix59c1,404$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.814560%27 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Black Phoenix53c926.63$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.439553.7%212 W · 183 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Black Phoenix57c852.73$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.878361.4%51 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ex-RUSTEC52c833.79$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.44,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUSTEC50c783.13$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.147,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Black Phoenix25c755.83$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5257422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked ex-RUSTEC55c737.44$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9335342.8%151 W · 202 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked ex-RUSTEC42c556.72$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.977052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix53c537.7$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.273,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Black Phoenix57c516.11$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.791,12142.5%476 W · 645 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked ex-RUSTEC33c509$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6326345.2%119 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Black Phoenix56c493.71$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.61,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUSTEC68c481.97$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.713,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Black Phoenix38c479.3$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5111538.3%44 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed ex-RUSTEC42c470$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.67262.5%45 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked ex-RUSTEC43c465.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.112944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed Black Phoenix45c425.26$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.379136.3%33 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Black Phoenix43c388.11$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.065,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUSTEC54c323.28$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.442,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ex-RUSTEC47c295.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.262,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix48c280.41$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3781744.7%365 W · 452 L-2.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b49…d827backed ex-RUSTEC65c256$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.62634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Black Phoenix64c238.28$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.510647.2%50 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Black Phoenix65c213.85$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13922449.6%111 W · 113 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed Black Phoenix10c207.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.447915.2%12 W · 67 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-56.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Black Phoenix65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020553.2%109 W · 96 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…300dbacked ex-RUSTEC49c199$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.493246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUSTEC51c189$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.275,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Black Phoenix53c183.11$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8143457.1%248 W · 186 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Black Phoenix49c177.59$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.022,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Black Phoenix44c173.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6520436.8%75 W · 129 L-15.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Black Phoenix60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10233050%165 W · 165 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed ex-RUSTEC46c155.18$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7319468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Black Phoenix70c154$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.81,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix54c152.28$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUSTEC43c138$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.672,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed ex-RUSTEC54c130.59$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.011,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3b…2921backed ex-RUSTEC77c115.29$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.522065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed ex-RUSTEC46c114.27$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.78560%51 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed ex-RUSTEC45c114$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.75756.1%32 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Black Phoenix46c107.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.092,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Black Phoenix56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6054743.7%239 W · 308 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Black Phoenix53c103.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.682,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7355…824cbacked Black Phoenix74c100.32$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ex-RUSTEC43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5773553.5%393 W · 342 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Black Phoenix63c95.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6087351.2%447 W · 426 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Black Phoenix63c93.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.778846.6%41 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Black Phoenix35c90.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5559445.8%272 W · 322 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC46c88.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.332,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed Black Phoenix50c87.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4414641.1%60 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Black Phoenix63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011453.5%61 W · 53 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC58c74.39$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.474,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Black Phoenix43c72.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.381,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked ex-RUSTEC43c67.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4417650.6%89 W · 87 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUSTEC60c65.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.425,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Black Phoenix66c64.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.964151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95bb…288dbacked ex-RUSTEC29c59.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.351926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-RUSTEC34c54.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.51,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Black Phoenix58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Black Phoenix36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUSTEC59c48.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.683,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked ex-RUSTEC60c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.872451.2%371 W · 353 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Black Phoenix43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.26258.1%36 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked ex-RUSTEC40c37.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2239338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed ex-RUSTEC34c36.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2723526.4%62 W · 173 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed ex-RUSTEC34c36.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2717626.1%46 W · 130 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Black Phoenix75c36.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1817068.2%116 W · 54 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe37f…6635backed ex-RUSTEC60c35.35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.253259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Black Phoenix50c32.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1877346.1%356 W · 417 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed ex-RUSTEC49c30.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7120935.9%75 W · 134 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f8…b0e5backed ex-RUSTEC49c30.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.542040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-RUSTEC43c29.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.611,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed ex-RUSTEC47c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.316749.3%33 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Black Phoenix65c26.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0740666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-RUSTEC55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.222,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked ex-RUSTEC43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1923256.5%131 W · 101 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd396…442cbacked ex-RUSTEC59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34560%27 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73db…1507backed ex-RUSTEC58c24.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.191250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Black Phoenix60c19.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4725553.3%136 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f9…3b9cbacked ex-RUSTEC64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.633100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.