CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f7c6199337d04e6687fd5b81046a21b5b0aab35d5085b2433b6393a5a61ac3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof Black Phoenix, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.98 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…5336backed Black Phoenix | 57c | 10,526$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Black Phoenix | 55c | 9,800$5,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,351 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 6,607$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.82 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 42c | 3,807$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.45 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…1963backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 3,322$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.14 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Black Phoenix | 58c | 3,255$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.89 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Black Phoenix | 58c | 2,370$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.74 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 1,823$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.2 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…4442backed Black Phoenix | 59c | 1,689$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 1,396$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.6 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Black Phoenix | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 1,141$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.07 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Black Phoenix | 31c | 1,000$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.9 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 1,000$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 939.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.01 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed ex-RUSTEC | 42c | 935.75$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.21 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Black Phoenix | 56c | 925.7$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.39 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUSTEC | 69c | 774.48$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.76 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Black Phoenix | 57c | 707.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfabe…f1c9backed Black Phoenix | 56c | 647.14$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.95 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked Black Phoenix | 34c | 636.41$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.38 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUSTEC | 42c | 621.78$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.75 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Black Phoenix | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 575.79$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.3 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-RUSTEC | 69c | 524.05$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.74 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 521.58$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Black Phoenix | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.29 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 454.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.54 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed ex-RUSTEC | 71c | 446.85$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 437.31$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.47 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ex-RUSTEC | 46c | 419.55$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.56 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 410.03$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.76 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix | 31c | 357.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked Black Phoenix | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 331$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked Black Phoenix | 47c | 306$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…4c30backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 305$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Black Phoenix | 56c | 303.03$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Black Phoenix | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Black Phoenix | 30c | 295.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 65c | 266.15$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Black Phoenix | 56c | 264.15$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Black Phoenix | 41c | 250$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Black Phoenix | 56c | 248.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Black Phoenix | 10c | 223.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…5850backed ex-RUSTEC | 70c | 211.86$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Black Phoenix | 23c | 199.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUSTEC | 70c | 192.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked Black Phoenix | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Black Phoenix | 56c | 166.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x280d…2dc2backed ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 151.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…711cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 25c | 130.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…cab4backed Black Phoenix | 56c | 124.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Black Phoenix | 13c | 124.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 119.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 116$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 112$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Black Phoenix | 41c | 107.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…8dedbacked Black Phoenix | 59c | 107.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Black Phoenix | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d56fbacked Black Phoenix | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…4183backed Black Phoenix | 23c | 97.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed ex-RUSTEC | 79c | 96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Black Phoenix | 58c | 95.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 95.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed ex-RUSTEC | 42c | 95.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Black Phoenix | 37c | 92.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Black Phoenix | 19c | 92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 89.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Black Phoenix | 56c | 88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 82.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed ex-RUSTEC | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Black Phoenix | 48c | 79.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…80f5backed ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 68.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed ex-RUSTEC | 71c | 67.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 67.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Black Phoenix | 33c | 66.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Black Phoenix | 58c | 63.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Black Phoenix | 34c | 62.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 60.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 57.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…94d0backed ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 55.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 55.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Black Phoenix | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed ex-RUSTEC | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 54.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Black Phoenix | 35c | 52.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 51.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed ex-RUSTEC | 75c | 50.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked ex-RUSTEC | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Black Phoenix | 59c | 47.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 46.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.