TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97f2…d56f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 63 out of 100; worst Tennis at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$57.6
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.7
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs INOX Division (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.8
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5)backed FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.64
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.09
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.4
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Drip Too Hard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.4
Counter-Strike: Color vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$80.6
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$142
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$227
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.57
Counter-Strike: 5star vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group Bbacked Kaleido Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$183
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.06
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2580%20 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$89.3
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$97.3
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$103
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$118.8
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$50.5
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$66.6
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+140.1%+$163.4
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$172
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$113
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+102%+$101
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$83.5
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.5
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Maryville University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$60.5
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.95
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+271.6%+$73.09
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Cancun: Vit Kopriva vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Clement Chidekhbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+314.2%+$531
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.8
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$91
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.3
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.7
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$140.6
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
All 8 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.