TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof paiN Gaming, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed FURIA Esports70c7,288$5,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.0359554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed FURIA Esports73c5,731$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.712840.6%52 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FURIA Esports73c5,706$4,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.5563344.5%282 W · 351 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN Gaming27c3,740$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.771,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a3…9e12backed paiN Gaming27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+46.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed paiN Gaming27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.999761.9%60 W · 37 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed FURIA Esports74c3,601$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.432,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed FURIA Esports72c3,500$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.617463.5%47 W · 27 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed FURIA Esports74c2,600$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6821,79251.1%916 W · 876 L+50.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed paiN Gaming28c2,346$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.4943238%164 W · 268 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked FURIA Esports73c2,317$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.591,49054.6%813 W · 677 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked FURIA Esports73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54034835.3%123 W · 225 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed paiN Gaming28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56044538.2%170 W · 275 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked paiN Gaming33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66034849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked FURIA Esports74c1,934$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.5820047%94 W · 106 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked paiN Gaming27c1,455$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.855637.5%21 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed paiN Gaming25c1,439$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.7535634.8%124 W · 232 L-19.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FURIA Esports77c1,254$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.092,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked FURIA Esports73c1,200$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32423152.4%121 W · 110 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7797…7ddcbacked paiN Gaming27c1,097$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.191330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed paiN Gaming29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed FURIA Esports71c999.98$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.991,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed paiN Gaming29c862.05$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9922742.7%97 W · 130 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8115…103bbacked FURIA Esports76c861.98$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.232661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked paiN Gaming27c829$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2310855.6%60 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed paiN Gaming21c778$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3844851.8%232 W · 216 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked paiN Gaming13c777.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed FURIA Esports71c690.7$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.362151.4%319 W · 302 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cf…d143backed paiN Gaming14c687.58$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.43119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-82.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed paiN Gaming27c670.57$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0520036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked paiN Gaming11c662.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8517439.1%68 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked paiN Gaming25c655.16$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.791546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked paiN Gaming28c639.16$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.890337.5%339 W · 564 L-18.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f26…0efcbacked paiN Gaming29c607.14$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b0…df70backed paiN Gaming30c552.58$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.524746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed paiN Gaming29c517.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023146.8%108 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed paiN Gaming25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12517141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed paiN Gaming26c499.8$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6535542.3%150 W · 205 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed paiN Gaming28c496.4$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6db8…b4c1backed paiN Gaming15c483.3$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.045824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbaa…a47fbacked paiN Gaming29c482.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed paiN Gaming29c475.58$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9224446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed FURIA Esports68c439.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.665063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked paiN Gaming29c432$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2819758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed paiN Gaming10c406.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.141,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed FURIA Esports80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd098…8d1cbacked paiN Gaming31c389.74$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.681118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick47cpaid-61.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked paiN Gaming26c386.2$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8955428.7%159 W · 395 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed paiN Gaming18c372.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.811136%40 W · 71 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9371…6294backed FURIA Esports73c347.99$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.961070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked paiN Gaming25c344.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2440546.2%187 W · 218 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed FURIA Esports66c322.23$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7316866.7%112 W · 56 L+23.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked paiN Gaming29c318.68$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4220552.7%108 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed paiN Gaming29c317.07$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9522043.6%96 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed FURIA Esports73c301.37$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3726950.9%137 W · 132 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed paiN Gaming29c297.22$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1916834.5%58 W · 110 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed paiN Gaming29c260$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.46855.9%38 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e17…2412backed paiN Gaming11c237.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Gaming18c197.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.951,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed paiN Gaming24c197.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.311247.3%53 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed FURIA Esports71c192.43$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.81,14945.2%519 W · 630 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed FURIA Esports71c192.43$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.81,38145.1%623 W · 758 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked paiN Gaming26c161.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4225640.6%104 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed paiN Gaming28c160$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.826048.8%127 W · 133 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e69…7a30backed FURIA Esports76c157.04$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.691978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed paiN Gaming25c150.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2639651%202 W · 194 L+1.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked FURIA Esports75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.511657.8%67 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c248backed paiN Gaming18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.516335%57 W · 106 L+0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked paiN Gaming25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3535642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked paiN Gaming25c135.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.836246.4%168 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x207b…8118backed paiN Gaming25c134.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.621145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked FURIA Esports75c134$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.511357.5%65 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc648…dcc2backed FURIA Esports72c131$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6822238.7%86 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed paiN Gaming31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409239.1%36 W · 56 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed paiN Gaming11c121.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417032.4%55 W · 115 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick25cpaid-4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdfb…9680backed FURIA Esports72c112.5$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.53764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed paiN Gaming11c106.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.723231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99b1…9fd2backed FURIA Esports76c103.75$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.93070%21 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a9…7bbfbacked FURIA Esports71c101.46$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked paiN Gaming24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81,34931.1%420 W · 929 L-128.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc9e…3a30backed paiN Gaming11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115857.6%91 W · 67 L+0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked paiN Gaming28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2864146.5%298 W · 343 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed paiN Gaming26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked FURIA Esports66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3418844.7%84 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f2…d56fbacked FURIA Esports72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282580%20 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed FURIA Esports65c99.78$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.921,20740%483 W · 724 L-63.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe8…843fbacked paiN Gaming27c96.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked FURIA Esports79c95.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3665359.4%388 W · 265 L+70.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x77b7…52bebacked paiN Gaming28c94.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.418048.3%87 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed paiN Gaming23c87.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3838155.1%210 W · 171 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked paiN Gaming28c86.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7916842.9%72 W · 96 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed paiN Gaming28c85.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x109a…c177backed paiN Gaming28c82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed paiN Gaming29c79.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.994645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed FURIA Esports72c75.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2796054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b39…8b50backed paiN Gaming25c75.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1944750.6%226 W · 221 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked paiN Gaming27c71.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.193860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d6…2dfdbacked paiN Gaming29c71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.593336.4%12 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe71d…ce32backed paiN Gaming29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked paiN Gaming29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015038.7%58 W · 92 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.