Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0be2c0dddebe71f6b1bfd9299da284916796f79440f07093cc6c00d9ee420f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Under | 45c | 2,150$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.69 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 55c | 2,126$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.55 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 55c | 1,436$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.09 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Under | 45c | 831.6$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Under | 45c | 356.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Under | 45c | 218.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 45c | 65.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 168 | 41.7%70 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 38c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Over | 60c | 33.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 139 | 63.3%88 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Over | 61c | 32.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 39c | 28.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFURIA Esports won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.