TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9371…6294

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
22
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$155.44
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$72.6
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$93.96
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.2
LoL: Dark Passage vs BoostGate Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Insbacked BoostGate Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.61
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Play-Insbacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$32.65
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$103.95
LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$178.2
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$148.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.35
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.92
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+319.3%+$358.66
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$77.52
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.6
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$40.7
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$34.96
All 7 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.7
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$61.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.