TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUSTECof Atreides, ex-RUSTEC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked ex-RUSTEC44c14,944$6,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,347.5375652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed ex-RUSTEC74c3,763$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.4819057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atreides80c2,274$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.415,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked ex-RUSTEC50c2,001$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.7814659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides29c1,896$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.297,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a90…7e68backed Atreides55c1,886$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.932958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked ex-RUSTEC54c1,562$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.9675245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Atreides52c1,409$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.543455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Atreides55c1,246$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.0823732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Atreides57c1,219$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUSTEC28c1,209$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.092,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed Atreides56c1,138$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.974129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7542…defdbacked Atreides56c1,017$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.471546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Atreides47c1,002$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.1918444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37d…c735backed Atreides50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006253.2%33 W · 29 L+9.5wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+172.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked Atreides54c999.96$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.989732%31 W · 66 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Atreides6c893.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.532,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed Atreides56c880.51$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.77653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed Atreides55c811.16$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.145540%22 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe559…b262backed Atreides56c810$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.62245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7290…bdf6backed Atreides56c742.17$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.352040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed ex-RUSTEC46c673.04$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.4445465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed ex-RUSTEC45c673.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.0115823.4%37 W · 121 L-18.0wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed Atreides52c658.04$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.4817163.7%109 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked ex-RUSTEC46c652.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.5313371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed Atreides56c629.87$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3517138%27 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Atreides51c612.99$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.311,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Atreides38c553.44$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.662,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Atreides59c550.32$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.345354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed Atreides56c533$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.481553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed ex-RUSTEC45c517.9$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8738841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Atreides56c508$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4827940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed ex-RUSTEC59c506.34$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.140264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked Atreides55c500.94$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2785738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Atreides58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29015948.4%77 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked ex-RUSTEC33c499.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.4812727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Atreides29c499.68$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.362,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Atreides32c495.83$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.653,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Atreides56c469.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.841,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Atreides56c452$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.085,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Atreides55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked ex-RUSTEC55c382.58$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.217850%39 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7797…7ddcbacked Atreides56c381$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.362070%14 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Atreides56c366$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.961,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9371…6294backed Atreides56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33c…b882backed Atreides56c341.07$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed ex-RUSTEC51c340.4$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.737057%211 W · 159 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Atreides62c320.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Atreides54c316.18$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7413646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Atreides36c314.5$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.781,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Atreides29c312.75$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.732,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x795d…f703backed ex-RUSTEC78c305.49$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.561464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed ex-RUSTEC37c300.73$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9652150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Atreides50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15099148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Atreides58c295.15$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.337848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe466…6938backed Atreides56c287.5$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed ex-RUSTEC26c271.61$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.051,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Atreides50c271.03$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5220745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b2…14a9backed Atreides56c270$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed Atreides56c268.03$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1729455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atreides30c263.81$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.542,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Atreides27c258.85$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6916542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Atreides56c258$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4826554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Atreides57c251.12$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.142744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da4…31bfbacked Atreides66c230.32$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d2…0ffebacked Atreides54c223.31$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.591650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d99…9c27backed ex-RUSTEC46c220$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.814439.6%57 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked ex-RUSTEC48c218.1$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4119050%95 W · 95 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Atreides31c217.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8658745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed ex-RUSTEC46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3939955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed Atreides56c214.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.355944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed ex-RUSTEC44c214.28$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42db…3816backed Atreides56c214$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.842123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-42.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked ex-RUSTEC39c205.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1313332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed ex-RUSTEC47c201.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7814356.6%81 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Atreides56c201.79$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed ex-RUSTEC73c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.473953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed Atreides55c197.25$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4910541%43 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed Atreides56c185.71$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10428052.9%148 W · 132 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Atreides57c183.23$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4440542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x717b…a128backed Atreides56c182.61$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.112661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac33…fda0backed Atreides56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.87146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Atreides56c176.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9935745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Atreides45c174.38$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.192,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb750…67efbacked Atreides56c173.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed ex-RUSTEC46c172.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3720440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e3…de04backed Atreides41c170$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.654250%21 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ex-RUSTEC43c168.75$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.764,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Atreides69c164.66$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0241475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe164…5fddbacked ex-RUSTEC66c161$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.846100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked ex-RUSTEC45c156.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1efb…dd8abacked Atreides56c144.21$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.767946.8%37 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Atreides44c138.53$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.184,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked ex-RUSTEC73c135.54$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.455251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Atreides14c133$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.555,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed ex-RUSTEC54c128.85$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7136649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17b6…8ef6backed Atreides58c121.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.027851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed ex-RUSTEC46c118.51$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5121845.9%100 W · 118 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed ex-RUSTEC55c117.85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.584264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b84…b851backed ex-RUSTEC20c117.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.891457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+79.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.