CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec9108b82629cb66e22b458f47ffda7771cabdafa3d5675606609f69b59d7e6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof Atreides, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Atreides | 22c | 2,400$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.8 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Atreides | 59c | 510.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed ex-RUSTEC | 36c | 470.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.43 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 420.02$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.7 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Atreides | 64c | 308.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 34c | 262.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 245.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.12 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Atreides | 62c | 187.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 66c | 183.65$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Atreides | 18c | 183.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC | 53c | 180.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 168$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc044…5fb8backed ex-RUSTEC | 71c | 153.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed Atreides | 67c | 149.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed ex-RUSTEC | 46c | 123.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ex-RUSTEC | 47c | 123.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 113$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Atreides | 20c | 100.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Atreides | 34c | 99.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atreides | 30c | 87.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atreides | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Atreides | 17c | 80.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…a90fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 71.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atreides | 41c | 48.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Atreides | 70c | 43.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUSTEC | 29c | 43.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…b333backed ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked ex-RUSTEC | 59c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Atreides | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Atreides | 53c | 26.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 25.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Atreides | 71c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atreides | 62c | 18.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Atreides | 74c | 15.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stageex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.