TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f26…0efc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$2,567.72
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$283.68
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,401.98
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,521.98
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,803.36
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,199.53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$4,614.1
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,142
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.99
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,028.74
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,641Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$3,185.11
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$3,313.17
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,840
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+525%+$3,538.43
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,496.57
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.91
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$758.14
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$168.64
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$164.08
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Revise (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.52
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$853.87
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.39
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.23
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.97
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$216.39
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$565
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-73.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$119.06
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37%+$72.12
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$154.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.