TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes70c10,295$7,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,068.611,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No31c8,548$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.6918743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16e5…c50abacked No30c8,320$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes74c8,000$5,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08036243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No8c6,345$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.085,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes73c6,217$4,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.7521151.7%109 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No26c4,952$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.2485250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes74c4,382$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.82,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No26c4,260$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.9277350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6876…8dc9backed Yes71c3,161$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No27c3,056$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No27c2,949$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.942,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes77c2,563$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.6373440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7813332.3%43 W · 90 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No30c1,914$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.22030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes70c1,778$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.45850%29 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No11c1,700$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.252,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddd…3254backed No26c1,598$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+112.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No3c1,546$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.291414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No13c1,526$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.323158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No4c938.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9143721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No28c813.68$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.491,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No10c758.6$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6980%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No8c716.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-56.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2331860.4%192 W · 126 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No14c667.73$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7634139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No30c641.84$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.551,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No28c637.02$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7539852.5%209 W · 189 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes76c626.85$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Yes70c619$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed No13c608.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.031435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1689447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dc…d577backed No26c589$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No30c505.08$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.593650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No30c444.72$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.421,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No25c442.62$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6546044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d68…8239backed Yes71c427.11$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f26…0efcbacked No30c415.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No28c410.63$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.248956.2%50 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd623…e35fbacked No26c384.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No21c379$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.016038.3%23 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked No17c350$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.491040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed No6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed No11c318.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-58.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No29c314.11$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.091225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No24c303.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9491148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No6c299.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0517529.1%51 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.697045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes74c262.74$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.314663%29 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x036a…aa02backed Yes74c215.47$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No26c215$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.911723.1%27 W · 90 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes70c211.27$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.291050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe65b…2b25backed No26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No29c199.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5814050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No15c194.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.931833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8032…db9fbacked Yes73c190$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes71c189.8$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.714858.3%28 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c186.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.471533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Yes70c169.97$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9910054%54 W · 46 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes74c162.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.161266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes70c158.57$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9303…731abacked Yes70c157.11$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.13955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed No8c156.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8b…13e6backed Yes71c156.34$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.341963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid+37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked No16c153.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bdc…9b4cbacked Yes69c143$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.33850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.869555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No14c141$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.856245.2%28 W · 34 L-9.2wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes70c137.9$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.37955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes78c137.48$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.645869%40 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No27c135.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.561553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3918…d955backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.147100%7 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6044…f1d0backed No15c129.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb989…2166backed Yes74c126.81$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes75c116.64$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.737779.2%61 W · 16 L+18.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+55.4%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No30c116.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8437049.5%183 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed No17c112.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1990%0 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed No18c112.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-55.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes77c109.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85263.5%33 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No27c108.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.211533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No29c103$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8794043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No26c101.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1817650%88 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2621473.4%157 W · 57 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No19c98.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6998653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x851a…de17backed Yes78c94.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ba…b677backed Yes73c89$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No19c87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5354650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed No15c76.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed No16c73.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221036.7%77 W · 133 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No26c72.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.893056.7%17 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76f5…8ad6backed No27c68.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3600…d8a6backed No30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15b5…e6e6backed Yes75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No22c66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6310049%49 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No26c64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.645545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.292770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.