Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-08-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaecc3644c77affe8d10bb1f5d0b3ca24960f7fce75f117fc8475b6bccd67184
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 5c | 13,135$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.23 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 9c | 12,591$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.16 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…7ec7backed Yes | 8c | 11,833$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 9c | 3,929$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.57 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 3,249$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,716$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7937…a98bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,295$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…9959backed Yes | 8c | 2,140$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…b32abacked Yes | 12c | 1,192$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,150$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 9c | 1,091$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Yes | 10c | 850$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 10c | 840$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 8c | 429$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 10c | 187$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +70%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-08-14?this page
- Will Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.