TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe073…9959

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$255.93
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.74
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33%+$246.42
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.93
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.38
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$27.69
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$27.69
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.24
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.97
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$23.7
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+102%+$214.51
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$143.37
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.79
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$110.19
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$128.9
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$167.34
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.84
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$138.68
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.61
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.03
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$182.19
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.36
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.31
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$157.14
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+227.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$211.4
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.55
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs MIBR.LOS (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$249
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.