South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fa4fa401f61093c46e8f4ca45129793161bc66c77707958ba71b15749b18ec4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 9c | 40,720$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.43 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…7ec7backed Yes | 10c | 6,099$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 12c | 3,536$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.4 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,546$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.06 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 8c | 2,306$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…9959backed Yes | 11c | 2,200$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,887$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,831$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 10c | 1,238$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.78 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 22c | 924.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.25 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…47dcbacked Yes | 11c | 910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…6f42backed Yes | 11c | 861.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 4c | 653.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 22c | 639.25$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 5c | 560$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 3c | 442.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 8c | 431.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 404.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 4c | 401.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 9c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 8c | 245.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 21c | 235$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 19c | 154.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 11c | 128.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 32c | 125.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…fa5cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…a2fdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…74a4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 19c | 96.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Yes | 28c | 58.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed No | 73c | 46.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f92…dc43backed No | 71c | 37.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 74c | 37.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked No | 76c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 75c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.