TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$426,266
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$428,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,266 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed No43c39,470$17,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,123.668743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No44c13,671$6,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,069.342,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No36c12,012$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.065540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No31c12,000$3,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.674768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No26c11,276$2,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,985.756251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No45c10,870$4,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,891.5857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes61c10,000$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,88031643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c9,603$4,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,077.975,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No2c8,352$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.116412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa15e…b828backed Yes66c7,686$5,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.991650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e75…80ffbacked Yes54c6,542$3,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,981.521060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Yes68c5,607$3,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.38887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick51cpaid+82.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x437b…1d11backed Yes36c5,556$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c5,491$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.838,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No35c5,125$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.626232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed No28c4,851$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.262536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No23c4,721$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.4712646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No30c4,534$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.561,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes69c4,382$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.9112434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes72c4,250$3,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.131,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed No32c4,044$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.856735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes60c3,997$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.64616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-72.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Yes64c3,760$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.29850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked No4c3,752$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.054626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No14c3,657$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.684852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes46c3,571$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.0219255.2%106 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes61c3,394$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.2310933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes73c2,928$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.5521938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes74c2,818$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.7582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes70c2,681$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.154456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes62c2,675$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.7640442.1%170 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No32c2,529$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.771,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca1…58acbacked Yes61c2,439$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed No39c2,405$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.353243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac3…00b2backed No28c2,337$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked No30c2,297$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.032462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes74c2,106$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.361,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No28c2,031$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.2912738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed No42c1,793$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.513458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed No31c1,687$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.134542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes69c1,643$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.6230847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No26c1,560$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.620036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No26c1,536$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.368139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes67c1,495$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.6351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes63c1,418$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.1617540%70 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes75c1,333$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1520665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes75c1,333$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1515768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No43c1,301$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.81,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes52c1,276$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.7610128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No31c1,211$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.7521638.4%83 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No44c1,180$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.932,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes69c1,168$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.23,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked No42c1,038$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.973438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Yes77c1,000$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes76c978.2$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.182050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes62c933.25$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.8917251.2%88 W · 84 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No32c906.66$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1310146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes77c878.66$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.525248.1%25 W · 27 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+10.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No30c859$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.71,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No30c859$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.72,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes69c843.83$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.89149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked No60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+287.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes45c777.78$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.786864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes53c764.13$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.9499259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No43c704.34$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.7911039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes71c701.82$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes43c680.75$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.81,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f94…cb06backed Yes70c637.14$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes77c615.16$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.26040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No13c613.62$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3816549.1%81 W · 84 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes65c611.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5819963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked No24c600.53$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.233545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.384450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed Yes71c560$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.263542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Yes45c555.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.264281%34 W · 8 L+12.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+66.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.323141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes77c509.79$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.781,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed No63c499.98$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.994755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes69c493$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3416864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes69c482.25$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.316842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes63c437.02$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.77852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Yes67c424$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.424148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed No16c411.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.421838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes72c409.1$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes47c399.99$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.197334.2%25 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No13c355.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3531136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4620934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed No32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes70c311.52$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.461838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes68c293.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No43c291.05$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.345946.8%215 W · 244 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No37c267.41$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.891,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes64c262.5$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.577151.4%396 W · 375 L-3.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No47c258$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5372258.6%423 W · 299 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Yes76c256.08$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9210828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes71c245.46$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.26762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Yes70c241.42$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.67520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-71.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bda…d4a0backed Yes45c240$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.