South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1ae1e298ba31c2ece7f00e19f15a1606ade7c352f22cf84d20d7e4d7e405eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 29,329$19,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,950.67 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 11,633$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 7,703$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.79 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 52c | 4,500$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 47c | 4,427$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.94 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 3c | 2,693$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 1,994$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.18 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 1,572$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.35 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 1,221$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 16c | 1,192$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.69 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 31c | 1,087$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.61 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed No | 80c | 945$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 56c | 831.11$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.14 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 814.47$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.33 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 31c | 805.43$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.31 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 61c | 780.68$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.85 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 32c | 577$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.54 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 47c | 561.14$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 18c | 560$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Yes | 11c | 454.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 30c | 335.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 24c | 334.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 21c | 319$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 16c | 315$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 32c | 311.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 22c | 231.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 224$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 67c | 210.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 62c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Yes | 30c | 197$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 7c | 179.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Yes | 31c | 179.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 18c | 156.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 80c | 156.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 20c | 150.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 149.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 23c | 132.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 31c | 122.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes | 18c | 110.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 78c | 106$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 65c | 99.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 14c | 96.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 71c | 96.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 12c | 93.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 53c | 91.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Yes | 20c | 85.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 17c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…eb9dbacked Yes | 31c | 83.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 15c | 77.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 32c | 76.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 66c | 74.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 32c | 74.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 45c | 73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed No | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…a2fdbacked Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 30c | 66.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 70c | 64.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 20c | 63.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…a65cbacked Yes | 16c | 63.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 71c | 61.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 62c | 56.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 25c | 49.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 21c | 49.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…fd8fbacked No | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…8949backed Yes | 31c | 43.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 33.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 78c | 31.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 75c | 24.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 79c | 24.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed No | 76c | 19.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 15.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 68c | 14.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 78cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?this page
- Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.