Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e2f85aabfb097638e95e44041de2c66f919d10384fb76f2d5e0c96140653bf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $428,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 11c | 32,320$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.23 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…bb65backed Yes | 11c | 30,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 60c | 16,722$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,721.97 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 10c | 14,554$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.43 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 12,078$6,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,383.24 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…61d2backed No | 30c | 11,717$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,217.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +234.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 10c | 7,926$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.65 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 23c | 7,058$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,408.82 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 43c | 5,767$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.15 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 31c | 5,605$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.26 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 46c | 5,484$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.39 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Yes | 62c | 4,500$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.84 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 43c | 4,342$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.91 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 4,138$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.86 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Yes | 6c | 4,010$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.98 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 68c | 3,650$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.39 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…9959backed Yes | 10c | 3,300$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,999$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 30c | 2,984$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 76c | 2,628$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.89 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 40c | 2,556$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.21 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 38c | 2,473$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.99 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,261$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 49c | 2,177$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.52 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,172$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked No | 52c | 2,072$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 39c | 2,015$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.27 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed No | 40c | 1,796$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 11c | 1,745$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 60c | 1,563$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.49 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes | 36c | 1,563$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 10c | 1,508$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed No | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 49c | 1,489$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.59 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 10c | 1,422$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed No | 54c | 1,357$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 59c | 1,350$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 3c | 1,320$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.99 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +1,305.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 10c | 1,269$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 10c | 1,229$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 64c | 1,208$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,109$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 37c | 1,100$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.27 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 11c | 1,036$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 30c | 1,030$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 1c | 1,028$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…ee64backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 10c | 996.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Yes | 9c | 989.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 23c | 925.27$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.96 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 40c | 799.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed No | 55c | 798.27$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.43 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed No | 62c | 774.23$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.21 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…8c71backed Yes | 36c | 769.92$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed No | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Yes | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 11c | 718.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 49c | 717.99$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.62 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 688.56$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.44 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 670$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…18b4backed Yes | 18c | 663.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 47c | 649.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…856fbacked Yes | 47c | 640.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 71c | 605$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.95 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 35c | 604.21$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked No | 65c | 549.98$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 39c | 547.84$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.67 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…dc27backed No | 54c | 504.83$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.22 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 42c | 477.47$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.27 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 438.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 44c | 433.62$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.28 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 13c | 432$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Yes | 53c | 431.12$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.6 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed No | 58c | 406.9$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked No | 51c | 401.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…cd90backed No | 17c | 400$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 61c | 399.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1011…c067backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 46c | 356.92$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked No | 8c | 350$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 319.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.