TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,292 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No70c11,558$8,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,063.32,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Yes33c10,000$3,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,708.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No68c8,643$5,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,909.896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No29c8,473$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.332843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No78c3,950$3,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0811136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+126.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed Yes31c3,748$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,604.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No19c3,685$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.820431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Yes23c3,152$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.174553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa28f…d25ebacked Yes18c2,581$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+173.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c2,124$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.951,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5402744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes42c1,913$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.432142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No77c1,800$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.724245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No21c1,790$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.2446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes22c1,788$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.332157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes31c1,610$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.491838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes79c1,594$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.2343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes54c1,473$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.297750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes35c1,426$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.187145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No71c1,207$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.754656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes23c1,186$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.6227737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d8a…9fb8backed Yes36c1,110$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7704727.7%13 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes33c999.84$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.8911837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No38c900.31$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.0731738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a44…e974backed Yes39c879.92$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes2c833.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.753638.9%14 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.24per pick15cpaid+1,305.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Yes27c800$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf08e…b840backed Yes26c744.42$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No76c727$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.5237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No68c683$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.641963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No61c638.06$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7123244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes36c630.56$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5617744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40813658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7e…36e7backed Yes27c575.83$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.931050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes35c573.79$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.962748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No19c538.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0828445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No77c513.57$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.4513040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No67c465$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.551947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes23c460$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.2650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.787830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No66c431.07$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Yes37c424.54$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.362123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid+16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Yes23c423.48$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+64.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No78c422.41$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2244753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c418.51$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed No57c411.69$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.393740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No77c400$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.522947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2977…6efcbacked Yes34c382.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6955…f54bbacked Yes22c375$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.51250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…bc89backed Yes34c355.88$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.831338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No10c340.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.692560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes30c338.13$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.694233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No62c335.22$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6217529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe89…d978backed Yes23c333.35$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.684257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes24c333.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.3313137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No22c328.62$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.892626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34da…ac26backed Yes64c318.02$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.53850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed Yes35c312.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.991533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23126046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23723353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No76c297$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.8120841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes49c289.6$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5624849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes32c287.91$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9811529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c283.78$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4729862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes36c280$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.24136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes27c279$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.671844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.785856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbeaa…fa16backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes22c273$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.945742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No31c247.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.128748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa022…22f1backed Yes79c239.57$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.31650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c225.51$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked No76c215.26$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.62240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes35c213$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5418858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes21c207.4$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+382.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No48c204.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8159240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No77c203.9$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1572860.7%17 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c203.76$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Yes20c200.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.253839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15421445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.49037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Yes6c200$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1887412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc738…7d74backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes44c195.38$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6115045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Yes33c186.66$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.662030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75a…d528backed No11c180.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.572254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b61…2fd2backed Yes78c178.27$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…e07abacked Yes33c175.04$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.041346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…e4bdbacked No65c174.14$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes24c170$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed Yes22c164.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.562365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb1d…6c0bbacked Yes61c163.59$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes25c160.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.036936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf43…90e0backed No8c155.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes23c152.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.172948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.