Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a4308c1128c9de4ec70e181707382aef0294b2dff40861986850e4052e4906c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,138,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,068,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,138,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 965 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed Yes | 69c | 143,479$99,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,000.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 77,351$51,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,355.86 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 34c | 71,696$24,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,989.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 58,178$19,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,254.63 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 43,439$18,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,352.45 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 67c | 41,407$27,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,844.06 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 34c | 40,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,399.97 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 34c | 37,995$12,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,076.48 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…bb65backed No | 35c | 33,274$11,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,628.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 34c | 31,943$10,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,012.73 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 33c | 29,633$9,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,853.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 68c | 24,546$16,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,682.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 35c | 23,512$8,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,392.67 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…e705backed Yes | 70c | 22,800$15,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,960.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 65c | 21,163$13,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,771.82 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed No | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 66c | 19,365$12,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,837.45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 18,719$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.76 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 34c | 16,060$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.53 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 67c | 16,000$10,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,715 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 33c | 15,856$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,554.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 35c | 15,436$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,034.73 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 31c | 14,942$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,301.88 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…32bebacked No | 31c | 11,998$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,278.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 20c | 10,744$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.51 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 69c | 10,532$7,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,256.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 32c | 10,446$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,070.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 32c | 10,193$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,974.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 35c | 9,599$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,274.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 31c | 9,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,239.83 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…c37ebacked Yes | 66c | 8,515$5,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,620.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 34c | 8,314$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,487.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 30cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 65c | 8,185$5,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.71 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 43c | 8,019$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.98 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1a…16a4backed No | 31c | 8,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 31cpaid | +227.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 32c | 7,437$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.47 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 66c | 7,069$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680.37 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 35c | 6,826$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.14 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 70c | 6,651$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 70c | 6,329$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Yes | 16c | 6,214$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 3c | 6,189$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 34c | 6,171$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.8 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 34c | 6,120$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.12 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…324abacked No | 31c | 6,002$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 31c | 5,930$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,086.9 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 65c | 5,784$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.6 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 34c | 5,284$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.39 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 30c | 5,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.99 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…451ebacked Yes | 26c | 4,980$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 70c | 4,855$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 11c | 4,788$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.31 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 5c | 4,645$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.23 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 30c | 4,201$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.51 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…d25ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,166$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 66c | 3,800$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Yes | 66c | 3,800$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.97 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 32c | 3,650$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Yes | 37c | 3,609$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 33c | 3,547$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.23 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 30c | 3,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.98 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 69c | 3,480$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 33c | 3,455$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 65c | 3,450$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 32c | 3,373$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 35c | 3,150$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Yes | 65c | 3,054$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…7411backed Yes | 66c | 2,784$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 9c | 2,547$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…e4bdbacked Yes | 23c | 2,417$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 35c | 2,310$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 33c | 2,272$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.5 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 43c | 2,252$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.03 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Yes | 69c | 2,154$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 67c | 2,071$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.39 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 75c | 2,033$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.33 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…18b4backed Yes | 11c | 2,011$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 51c | 1,988$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.27 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 37c | 1,965$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 31c | 1,897$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.76 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 57c | 1,858$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 2c | 1,841$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 30c | 1,826$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.71 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,780$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.07 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 64c | 1,758$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.48 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 49c | 1,700$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 31c | 1,645$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.