TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No62c93,937$58,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,696.0974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes38c53,000$20,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,14012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes39c25,800$10,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,06213725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed No61c19,813$12,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,727.1913738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No66c12,954$8,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,361.24652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c12,400$7,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,647.981,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes38c11,502$4,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,370.77131%22 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No62c6,405$3,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.482653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6db…2f0dbacked Yes37c6,369$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.53412.4%1 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-96.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Yes37c4,834$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.766434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes37c2,776$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.155349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes36c2,718$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.348,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes22c2,533$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.157126.8%19 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes37c2,518$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.493,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes38c2,409$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.2430431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7403327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cc…c7c7backed Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7404323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76032765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes38c1,974$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes38c1,694$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.655429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No64c1,597$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.294,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.312554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007225%18 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0627…f26dbacked Yes38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007532%24 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37014440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No61c999.9$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.965962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No61c999.89$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.961,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…dcfebacked No64c972.95$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.43366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes25c853.39$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3818843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No63c814.99$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5514945%67 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes25c762.53$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.651,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes21c656.61$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5851429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x292a…e42fbacked Yes38c631.68$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.043622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac3f…dc17backed Yes38c615.45$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.872910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-81.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22217052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008528.2%24 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes39c566.36$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.11,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf79…decebacked Yes18c565.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No66c529.82$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1711256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes38c527$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2619713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes38c526$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8823540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes38c507.05$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes38c500$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.511632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No62c498.94$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.62,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa995…3d50backed Yes39c496.47$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.761533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d0…b4dabacked Yes38c485.37$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.442119%4 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes37c477.01$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.743,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8c…6452backed Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15225418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed No62c399.97$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.996570.8%46 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019643.4%85 W · 111 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes37c376.41$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.043,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c7a…b077backed Yes38c368.42$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes38c347.74$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1436123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Yes38c347.37$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Yes38c333$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.546738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No75c326.81$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.832,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No69c319.97$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9931171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a89…1239backed Yes32c313.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e1…85fbbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004438.6%17 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11445421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No62c284.31$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3416…be7ebacked Yes18c283.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5160%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes38c270.89$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9414852.7%78 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea76…88ecbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bf…366abacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017436.2%63 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa739…19c8backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013141.2%54 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ec7backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc632…6871backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010240.2%41 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6fd…f50bbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006157.4%35 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x78f9…c92dbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x962b…11c3backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3e…01f8backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022851.8%118 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf298…5082backed Yes39c261.54$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes39c256.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9920427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e2…1686backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb34c…449cbacked Yes38c252.79$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.061723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22dd…f520backed Yes38c252.79$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.063655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca76…3d14backed Yes38c252.79$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.067627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No57c252.33$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.546464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed No76c250.27$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.064341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Yes37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.512737%47 W · 80 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Yes38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956734.3%23 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.510438.5%40 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked Yes38c249.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9439951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02aa…4413backed Yes39c239.62$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4512547.2%59 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked No63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.119148.7%93 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f47…08b4backed Yes38c234.39$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.073622.2%8 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007824.4%19 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.