Harry Kane: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fc3dd14ef7fdac0bf66a9ad22102bde66e17843eca6e38cc01198f10908ca46

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $241,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $236,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,595 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafac…8730backed Yes	10c	114,530$11,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,453	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes	10c	52,072$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf3…538dbacked Yes	10c	20,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ac…2613backed Yes	10c	5,646$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.63	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	72	25%18 W · 54 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed Yes	10c	4,033$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.98	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d9…c8b1backed Yes	10c	3,692$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.19	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	10c	2,220$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	144	40.3%58 W · 86 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	8c	1,640$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.53	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f23…40b4backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	10c	1,023$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.8	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	197	13.7%27 W · 170 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes	8c	608.28$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.98	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Yes	10c	579.35$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.94	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	7c	570.59$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.63	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72de…a5edbacked Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	54	14.8%8 W · 46 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	303	21.5%65 W · 238 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	193	29%56 W · 137 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes	10c	498.9$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.89	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea76…88ecbacked Yes	10c	448.5$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.85	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	9c	428.36$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.55	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f9…992abacked Yes	10c	399.1$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.91	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc427…efdfbacked Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	9cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes	10c	310$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	210	29%61 W · 149 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes	9c	288.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.94	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…77f0backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6475…8028backed Yes	10c	220$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	41	24.4%10 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	10c	210$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	293	38.2%112 W · 181 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	467	43.3%202 W · 265 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	203	25.6%52 W · 151 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…1cd2backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	74	18.9%14 W · 60 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27c8…0280backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a0…da23backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	13.4%13 W · 84 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb9…76bcbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18e…b090backed Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-7.1wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3629…9debbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes	10c	191.34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	315	43.5%137 W · 178 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	33cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a6d…38c1backed Yes	10c	151.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d26…6a3cbacked Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes	8c	132.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes	9c	119.96$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	239	50.2%120 W · 119 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	256	39.1%100 W · 156 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	259	45.2%117 W · 142 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8474…67d4backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-4.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x069b…285cbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-5.4wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11bf…b3d4backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c2f…9a04backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e69…e630backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f4…1afebacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8693…cc0dbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Harry Kane: 2+ goalsthis page
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsYes won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsYes won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsYes won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shotsYes won
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ shotsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 2+ shotsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 3+ shotsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots on targetNo won
Bukayo Saka: 4+ shotsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ shotsYes won
Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
Eberechi Eze: 1+ goalsNo won
Eberechi Eze: 2+ goalsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 2+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsYes won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsYes won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsYes won
Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsYes won
Exequiel Palacios: 1+ goalsNo won
Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
Giovani Lo Celso: 2+ goalsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 2+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
Harry Kane: 2+ shotsNo won
Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
Jordan Pickford: 4+ savesNo won
Jordan Pickford: 5+ savesNo won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shotsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsYes won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Harry Kane: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event