TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Declan Rice: 1+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,847 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes56c583.02$324 inWon+$259.025429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90af…faa9backed No44c422.16$186 inLost-$185.751136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes53c395.8$211 inWon+$184.941,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ef…0cdebacked No46c387.94$180 inLost-$1803455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked No44c333.82$147 inLost-$146.8818248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked No46c305$140 inLost-$140.313447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No45c197.37$89 inLost-$88.6610833.3%36 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed No43c193.68$83 inLost-$83.286261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon+$81.8217736.7%65 W · 112 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes56c153.21$85 inWon+$67.81,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe56…093dbacked No48c124.29$60 inLost-$605056%28 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x202d…c3b1backed Yes52c123.46$64 inWon+$59.266349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes56c100$56 inWon+$4410438.5%40 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x760d…0786backed Yes57c40$23 inWon+$1714557.9%84 W · 61 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes54c30$16 inWon+$13.87353.4%39 W · 34 L+7.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.