TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Harry Kane: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,848 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf17a…fa3abacked No31c3,563$1,099 inWon+$2,464.0616260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Yes69c2,000$1,380 inLost-$1,3804746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed No29c1,365$396 inWon+$969.352222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes70c1,000$700 inLost-$7001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes71c934.78$666 inLost-$66617736.7%65 W · 112 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes78c250.4$195 inLost-$195.238,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No22c193.77$43 inWon+$151.112,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9899…5d02backed Yes69c145$100 inLost-$100.053444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf74…29cdbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inLost-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f48…8275backed Yes70c139.2$97 inLost-$97.3713364.7%86 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes73c117.59$86 inLost-$86.061,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes76c100$76 inLost-$767951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked No23c99.99$23 inWon+$76.9914043.6%61 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef9…6f98backed No24c84.46$20 inWon+$64.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes70c82$57 inLost-$57.43,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe56…093dbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inLost-$505056%28 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15fe…f385backed Yes69c57.97$40 inLost-$402065%13 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No24c53.54$13 inWon+$40.5243460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50a2…76a2backed Yes78c30$23 inLost-$23.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes69c28.99$20 inLost-$2029645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa06…74c3backed Yes72c27.77$20 inLost-$19.995680.4%45 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick76cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42f3…bf25backed Yes77c25.97$20 inLost-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc6…97b7backed Yes69c25$17 inLost-$17.253158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes69c21.74$15 inLost-$1523062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6da…b2cdbacked Yes72c14.99$11 inLost-$10.791580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.