TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bukayo Saka: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,120 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No70c3,769$2,628 inWon+$1,140.3816065%104 W · 56 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inLost-$4001,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes17c798$136 inLost-$135.6677845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Yes38c500$190 inLost-$19019251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Yes38c500$190 inLost-$1909552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes16c464.73$74 inLost-$74.369247.8%44 W · 48 L+18.5wins+0.20per pick28cpaid+50.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes33c332.77$111 inLost-$110.711,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes38c305$115 inLost-$115.0530241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb9…76bcbacked Yes18c272.24$50 inLost-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-61.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…0cdebacked No59c271.19$160 inWon+$111.193455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No60c251$151 inWon+$100.416336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes26c222.1$58 inLost-$57.7516333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost-$3022242.3%94 W · 128 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes37c114$42 inLost-$42.343,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Yes30c100.75$30 inLost-$29.8145254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No80c49.87$40 inWon+$9.976671.2%47 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2fa…8755backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost-$153333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes43c33.21$14 inLost-$14.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No76c15.83$12 inWon+$3.82,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.