Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65e817ccb711aed2c11e236adf2549c26d1e89b2b310bb8e68b50ff534e7deee

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,333,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,264,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,333,130 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes	6c	200,000$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…b8e0backed Yes	0c	178,000$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes	6c	141,147$8,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,468.83	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes	5c	102,220$5,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,111	91	41.8%38 W · 53 L	+9.8wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+27%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	5c	86,152$4,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,307.61	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa83c…f175backed Yes	0c	51,667$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes	4c	50,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.99	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	5c	45,671$2,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,180.74	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	5c	45,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes	5c	22,500$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	5c	20,550$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045.53	102	33.3%34 W · 68 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	4c	19,462$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.7	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e42…f5bbbacked Yes	5c	17,331$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.55	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes	5c	16,350$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833.5	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes	4c	15,812$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.46	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+7.0wins	+0.26per pick	30cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes	5c	15,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	+5.9wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	5c	14,959$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.27	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27a0…b6cbbacked Yes	5c	12,319$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	8cpaid	+400%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes	2c	11,793$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.58	155	47.1%73 W · 82 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	5c	11,434$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.94	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	5c	11,260$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed Yes	4c	10,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Yes	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes	0c	9,999$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes	4c	9,892$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.33	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	5c	8,140$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.02	886	35.8%317 W · 569 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes	5c	7,711$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.18	335	51.3%172 W · 163 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	5c	7,500$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	356	52.8%188 W · 168 L	+15.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	0c	6,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	14cpaid	+55%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes	5c	5,393$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.89	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes	5c	4,869$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.51	698	51.1%357 W · 341 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	5c	4,590$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.49	809	53.6%434 W · 375 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes	5c	4,000$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	5c	3,767$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.35	86	37.2%32 W · 54 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes	5c	3,232$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.16	489	50.1%245 W · 244 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	1c	3,159$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	1,012	33.2%336 W · 676 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes	5c	3,036$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.8	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes	2c	2,593$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.14	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-8.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe073…9959backed Yes	6c	2,093$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	594	45.5%270 W · 324 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ce…35c6backed Yes	5c	1,820$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes	5c	1,812$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.6	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Yes	5c	1,700$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…def9backed Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes	6c	1,666$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	6c	1,638$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.26	232	43.5%101 W · 131 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes	5c	1,318$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.88	284	56.7%161 W · 123 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4908…7cafbacked Yes	5c	1,281$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes	6c	1,167$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.37	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes	6c	1,167$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	18cpaid	+145.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes	6c	1,161$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.68	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+142%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Yes	4c	1,050$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	129	35.7%46 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1330…b4b5backed Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+223.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce0c…d839backed Yes	6c	867.5$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4161…e71dbacked Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes	5c	780.03$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.79	97	35.1%34 W · 63 L	-9.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes	5c	729.33$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.04	420	43.8%184 W · 236 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f1…4d6ebacked Yes	5c	722.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.89	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ad…241bbacked Yes	4c	616$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.64	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…5270backed Yes	5c	609$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes	5c	580.56$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.76	571	50.4%288 W · 283 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes	5c	519.16$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.36	187	48.1%90 W · 97 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf77a…d17bbacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	71	31%22 W · 49 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31cb…1f5bbacked Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef2…d5c5backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd08b…b74cbacked Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yes	6c	493.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.62	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb94e…f954backed Yes	3c	484.37$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…7c3bbacked Yes	6c	464.8$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e5…17e6backed Yes	6c	450$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked Yes	5c	334.02$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033d…9831backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	8cpaid	+354.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2f…9dabbacked Yes	6c	330$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8979…3e4abacked Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes	5c	276$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	112	17.9%20 W · 92 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes	5c	260$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae33…ba39backed Yes	6c	239.28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x733c…a58dbacked Yes	6c	235.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes	5c	204.86$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	578	33%191 W · 387 L	-29.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes	5c	201$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes	6c	200.59$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.04	220	57.7%127 W · 93 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	182	39.6%72 W · 110 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8431…d388backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes	6c	175$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?this page
Will Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?No won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event