TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8e5…17e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 50 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bearsbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinosbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.24
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lionsbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+311.1%+$164.9
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. NC Dinosbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.29
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+152%+$50.17
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+143.5%+$143.45
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+335.4%+$76.97
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$29.8
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lionsbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
KBO: KT Wiz vs. LG Twinsbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+113%+$114.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.