MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a55035e30eb7f5cdfe5d75d98afd6ec8cbb90558bb5ba72c4071cb263d6a4c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41a8…c372backed Lotte Giants | 77c | 4,833$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 4,708$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.47 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 21c | 3,666$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.1 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 3,320$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.77 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 1,224$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 1,138$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.52 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…ecb8backed Lotte Giants | 58c | 1,116$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Lotte Giants | 67c | 1,105$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.4 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Lotte Giants | 64c | 788.69$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.33 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 528.81$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.76 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 475$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 441.73$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.53 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Lotte Giants | 57c | 390.77$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.69 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 302.54$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 266.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lotte Giants | 58c | 266$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Lotte Giants | 60c | 226.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 225$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 215.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…17e6backed Doosan Bears | 32c | 192.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lotte Giants | 58c | 188.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Doosan Bears | 31c | 163.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 156.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Doosan Bears | 27c | 140.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Doosan Bears | 30c | 139.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Lotte Giants | 58c | 132$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Lotte Giants | 67c | 128.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 287 | 50.9%146 W · 141 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 94.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Lotte Giants | 75c | 88.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Lotte Giants | 61c | 88.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 87.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lotte Giants | 60c | 80.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Lotte Giants | 60c | 75.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 476 | 46.8%223 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Lotte Giants | 74c | 71.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Lotte Giants | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 666 | 48.2%321 W · 345 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 62.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 57.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb430…efc9backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 52.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 51.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…230cbacked Lotte Giants | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.1wins | +0.39per pick | 53cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Doosan Bears | 35c | 49.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 570 | 58.4%333 W · 237 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 46.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 44.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Lotte Giants | 56c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lotte Giants | 66c | 41.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Lotte Giants | 72c | 40.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 372 | 67.7%252 W · 120 L | +33.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 34.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Doosan Bears | 48c | 32.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 32.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 26.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 23.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lotte Giants | 56c | 23.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 484 | 45.9%222 W · 262 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Lotte Giants | 58c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.