MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3642b8ecb01c94d1de45dd190c4331d0e7e9e8d36a8a43c763536efc1a8af49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Kiwoom Heroes, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Lotte Giants | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 1,907$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.61 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 939.19$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 442.7$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 439.42$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lotte Giants | 54c | 383.48$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 358.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Lotte Giants | 59c | 254.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lotte Giants | 55c | 225$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…17e6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 184.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lotte Giants | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked Lotte Giants | 56c | 169.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Lotte Giants | 74c | 135.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Lotte Giants | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 77c | 129$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…c372backed Lotte Giants | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 55c | 106.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kiwoom Heroes | 60c | 80.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Kiwoom Heroes | 60c | 75.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 71.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 70.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lotte Giants | 39c | 66.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 54c | 65.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 65.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 60.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…1e71backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 52.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 45.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 38.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 25.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lotte Giants | 72c | 23.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.