MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb360e3f0fb24b387f64091075354dea866d11d8bb3546fa2372335a3e99f2a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof KT Wiz, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3572…9d39backed KT Wiz | 39c | 7,455$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.18 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 7c | 5,769$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed LG Twins | 69c | 2,771$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.42 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed LG Twins | 50c | 2,709$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.57 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked LG Twins | 50c | 2,350$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.35 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…c372backed LG Twins | 68c | 1,685$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked KT Wiz | 50c | 1,568$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.71 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked KT Wiz | 51c | 1,402$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.92 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LG Twins | 59c | 1,382$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.55 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 75c | 1,087$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.14 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed KT Wiz | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed KT Wiz | 50c | 602$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.53 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed LG Twins | 50c | 580.81$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.08 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked LG Twins | 51c | 564.44$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked KT Wiz | 12c | 497$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 52c | 405$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed LG Twins | 61c | 395.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.41 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed LG Twins | 71c | 392.28$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed KT Wiz | 29c | 380$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked KT Wiz | 47c | 369.49$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.66 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…17e6backed KT Wiz | 17c | 283.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed KT Wiz | 49c | 200.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed LG Twins | 51c | 180.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked LG Twins | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed KT Wiz | 43c | 139.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 61c | 137.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed LG Twins | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed LG Twins | 51c | 129.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 78c | 127$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed KT Wiz | 50c | 125.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d8…c4c9backed KT Wiz | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KT Wiz | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LG Twins | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked KT Wiz | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed KT Wiz | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked LG Twins | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed KT Wiz | 53c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed LG Twins | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed LG Twins | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed LG Twins | 57c | 53.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed KT Wiz | 28c | 50.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed LG Twins | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed LG Twins | 53c | 49.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed LG Twins | 48c | 47.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed LG Twins | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked KT Wiz | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed LG Twins | 47c | 42.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KT Wiz | 51c | 37.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed LG Twins | 50c | 35.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | -10.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LG Twins | 57c | 32.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed LG Twins | 50c | 32.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee6…b119backed LG Twins | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed LG Twins | 52c | 28.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed KT Wiz | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…b846backed KT Wiz | 51c | 24.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed KT Wiz | 47c | 21.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed KT Wiz | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.