TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea50…667d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT7953.2%42 W · 37 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinosbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinosbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$25.68
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
KBO: KT Wiz vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.13
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
KBO: KT Wiz vs. LG Twinsbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$45.09
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.92
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+281%+$55.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$21.83
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$76.38
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$114.21
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.44
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 17 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vancouver: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Emma Dongbacked Emma Dong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.