MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e086499596bf809e6b813033faa38362522ab49c83abfa19f28aeb809331e84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41a8…c372backed NC Dinos | 61c | 4,286$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Samsung Lions | 37c | 2,489$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.23 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed NC Dinos | 47c | 1,822$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.45 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 1,322$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.77 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 43c | 1,279$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.9 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 983.33$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.33 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NC Dinos | 40c | 983.33$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.33 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 533.94$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.7 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NC Dinos | 47c | 424.45$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 40c | 414.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Samsung Lions | 42c | 375.41$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.25 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed NC Dinos | 76c | 300$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.42 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 46c | 280.77$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked NC Dinos | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Samsung Lions | 40c | 160$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NC Dinos | 58c | 145$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed Samsung Lions | 38c | 125.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 119.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Samsung Lions | 28c | 102.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 100.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed NC Dinos | 49c | 75.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Samsung Lions | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked NC Dinos | 60c | 69.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed NC Dinos | 41c | 59.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 51.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 47.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Samsung Lions | 44c | 45.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 41c | 45.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed NC Dinos | 41c | 41.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 37.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NC Dinos | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 31.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NC Dinos | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed NC Dinos | 55c | 22.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.