MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97ee44b122a80871e7499fdc2594e6cb5a08816aae42eeb3c7f7f136d8220269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof Kia Tigers, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 3,374$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.37 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x638d…3d87backed Kiwoom Heroes | 71c | 2,031$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kia Tigers | 64c | 1,706$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…c372backed Kiwoom Heroes | 76c | 1,600$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 17c | 1,208$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.1 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 24c | 1,086$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Kiwoom Heroes | 67c | 965.36$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.78 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Kia Tigers | 64c | 693.96$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.85 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 64c | 560$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 510$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 29c | 395.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 236.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 225$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 193.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 77c | 180$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…ba8bbacked Kia Tigers | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 63c | 102.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 28c | 97.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 83.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…fe6bbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 80.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Kia Tigers | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Kia Tigers | 19c | 75.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Kia Tigers | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Kia Tigers | 45c | 65.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 58.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 48.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 48.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 41.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kia Tigers | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Kia Tigers | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 17.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.