TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boston Red Soxof San Francisco Giants, Boston Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$291,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Boston Red Sox64c57,143$36,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,762.4526257.3%150 W · 112 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants39c36,093$14,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,200.823,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants40c27,367$10,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,951.64,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants41c21,728$8,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,876.8810,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox59c21,649$12,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,844.1711,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed San Francisco Giants37c20,331$7,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,448.9818648.9%91 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed San Francisco Giants37c13,291$4,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,917.827253.7%146 W · 126 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…2ff4backed Boston Red Sox63c7,937$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.5112960.5%78 W · 51 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed San Francisco Giants46c6,507$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.917847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Boston Red Sox63c5,943$3,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.8713561.5%83 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox54c5,860$3,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.324,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Boston Red Sox63c5,556$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.5615859.5%94 W · 64 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Boston Red Sox63c4,762$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.923457.7%135 W · 99 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f2…7449backed Boston Red Sox64c3,968$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.571546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…3aaebacked Boston Red Sox63c3,571$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.4312959.7%77 W · 52 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Boston Red Sox47c3,086$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.6427447.8%131 W · 143 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Boston Red Sox57c2,994$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.5835658.1%207 W · 149 L+26.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed San Francisco Giants38c2,960$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.527446.7%128 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants26c2,603$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.5197044.9%436 W · 534 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked San Francisco Giants38c2,517$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.4815542.6%66 W · 89 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox78c2,369$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.048,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants39c2,361$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.678,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Boston Red Sox67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.8122257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked San Francisco Giants37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9945451.3%233 W · 221 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed San Francisco Giants37c1,664$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.6262043.1%267 W · 353 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed San Francisco Giants43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5162646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox62c1,134$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.841,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Boston Red Sox63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37048446.7%226 W · 258 L-33.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Boston Red Sox63c978.98$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.5157753.2%307 W · 270 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Boston Red Sox58c900$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.555339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ea…1fbebacked Boston Red Sox63c873.02$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.023256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Boston Red Sox65c743.65$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.285474.1%40 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+31.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x98d8…20f6backed Boston Red Sox69c723.69$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.694656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Boston Red Sox63c676.3$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2335056%196 W · 154 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb993…61febacked Boston Red Sox63c592.37$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.185100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox62c581.87$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.111,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c16…e71abacked San Francisco Giants38c559.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.395042%21 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…2b75backed Boston Red Sox62c555.55$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.119548.4%46 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked San Francisco Giants43c538.4$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.592,09351.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L+44.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked San Francisco Giants38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19036729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Boston Red Sox63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18511449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Boston Red Sox59c489.86$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5252752.2%275 W · 252 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Boston Red Sox63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1935054.6%191 W · 159 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked San Francisco Giants37c475$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2510241.2%42 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed San Francisco Giants22c449.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0886948.4%421 W · 448 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed San Francisco Giants22c400.52$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5420836.5%76 W · 132 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked San Francisco Giants22c395.95$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1121650.5%109 W · 107 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Boston Red Sox78c379$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.71,10679.6%880 W · 226 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Boston Red Sox68c344.5$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.262049.2%305 W · 315 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked San Francisco Giants49c325$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2552053.8%280 W · 240 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Boston Red Sox63c323$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.971,38650.6%702 W · 684 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Boston Red Sox63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.468460.7%51 W · 33 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed San Francisco Giants25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758440.5%34 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed San Francisco Giants38c272$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6496553%511 W · 454 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed San Francisco Giants38c265$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.792050%460 W · 460 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed San Francisco Giants22c263.46$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.964148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed San Francisco Giants42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed San Francisco Giants37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.520748.3%100 W · 107 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Boston Red Sox62c249.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9525147%118 W · 133 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked San Francisco Giants29c246.02$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2688656.4%500 W · 386 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x546b…1582backed Boston Red Sox64c244.3$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.951553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox66c238.72$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6412,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8b…5e36backed Boston Red Sox63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ac…b7c1backed Boston Red Sox63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b25…edc5backed Boston Red Sox63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.18344.6%37 W · 46 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Boston Red Sox62c232.6$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4917145.6%78 W · 93 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants19c231.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.484,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Boston Red Sox65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7728851%147 W · 141 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked San Francisco Giants25c230$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.511914.3%17 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+289.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e55…a332backed Boston Red Sox63c230$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.17953.2%42 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked San Francisco Giants8c226.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.542924.1%7 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants38c215$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.73,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed San Francisco Giants39c215$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2528750.9%146 W · 141 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Boston Red Sox71c206.28$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.191,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Boston Red Sox48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10413852.2%72 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed San Francisco Giants25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked San Francisco Giants26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5212245.9%56 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants34c194.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.792645.9%425 W · 501 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Boston Red Sox66c192.98$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.231,15342.8%494 W · 659 L-37.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed San Francisco Giants41c191.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.681,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ac5…57a0backed San Francisco Giants35c189.85$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.52568%17 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Boston Red Sox70c186.75$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8848049.6%238 W · 242 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed San Francisco Giants29c186.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6251261.7%316 W · 196 L+38.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox62c169.98$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.596,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Boston Red Sox65c165.83$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3917548%84 W · 91 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked San Francisco Giants31c163.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.911,17643.8%515 W · 661 L-33.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants37c163.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.339,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Boston Red Sox62c161.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.243366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked Boston Red Sox64c160.83$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.210941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff0…2fbabacked Boston Red Sox63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Boston Red Sox63c158$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4611457%65 W · 49 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Boston Red Sox65c151.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.591741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed San Francisco Giants36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.88548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Boston Red Sox57c143.95$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7861646.4%286 W · 330 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bde…e51dbacked San Francisco Giants38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b6…f6dfbacked San Francisco Giants45c130$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.529241.4%121 W · 171 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed San Francisco Giants38c129.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3584840.2%341 W · 507 L-3.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed San Francisco Giants25c119.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4328245.7%129 W · 153 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants19c115.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.958,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5f…dc31backed Boston Red Sox63c106.81$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.523351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.