MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf18f2de51756a8160399ca0cfab1854e49717ea8b8f8512978efb4a2ee106b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41a8…c372backed LG Twins | 46c | 6,313$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed KT Wiz | 59c | 5,769$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.9 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed LG Twins | 39c | 5,132$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.44 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked KT Wiz | 60c | 4,727$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.77 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 4,058$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.51 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked KT Wiz | 55c | 3,587$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.92 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 53c | 2,932$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed LG Twins | 68c | 2,449$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.7 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LG Twins | 41c | 1,818$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.09 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed LG Twins | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed KT Wiz | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KT Wiz | 54c | 1,227$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.49 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed LG Twins | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LG Twins | 40c | 1,082$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.07 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed KT Wiz | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed LG Twins | 37c | 923.93$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.85 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 64c | 834.93$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.58 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 826.52$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.4 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed KT Wiz | 36c | 600$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 39c | 538.46$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked KT Wiz | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed KT Wiz | 61c | 427.66$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.79 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked LG Twins | 41c | 427$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.07 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked LG Twins | 38c | 408$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed KT Wiz | 38c | 376.68$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.58 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed KT Wiz | 57c | 330$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked LG Twins | 40c | 300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…46fcbacked LG Twins | 44c | 290.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 67c | 270$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.67 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed LG Twins | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed LG Twins | 40c | 251.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…ff8cbacked LG Twins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed LG Twins | 41c | 193.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked LG Twins | 63c | 188.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed LG Twins | 67c | 166.74$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5405backed KT Wiz | 33c | 137$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked KT Wiz | 65c | 134.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed LG Twins | 63c | 128$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 79c | 125$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked KT Wiz | 33c | 122$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked KT Wiz | 38c | 118.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked LG Twins | 63c | 106.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…6576backed LG Twins | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed LG Twins | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked LG Twins | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LG Twins | 62c | 95.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed LG Twins | 39c | 94.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked KT Wiz | 58c | 86.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed LG Twins | 38c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed KT Wiz | 46c | 78.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed LG Twins | 62c | 77.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…c6b9backed LG Twins | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed LG Twins | 41c | 72.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed LG Twins | 44c | 70.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed KT Wiz | 63c | 66.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked LG Twins | 41c | 66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked LG Twins | 78c | 52.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 61c | 52.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked LG Twins | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed LG Twins | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LG Twins | 50c | 42.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed LG Twins | 50c | 42.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked LG Twins | 48c | 41.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed KT Wiz | 57c | 39.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed LG Twins | 40c | 38.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed KT Wiz | 57c | 36.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed LG Twins | 46c | 36.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | -10.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed LG Twins | 39c | 35.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed LG Twins | 38c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed LG Twins | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…c511backed LG Twins | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed KT Wiz | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…3502backed KT Wiz | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked KT Wiz | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.