MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x990d9695fcb840660bf8961bce2c358143017cdd598dd58ce921068cdb0c54b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $417,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $427,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 73,660$47,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,009.04 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 46,317$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,716.62 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 44,976$29,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,916.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 40,846$14,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,727.22 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 38,983$14,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,419.67 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 28,100$19,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,150.85 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 25,555$9,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,621.88 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 15,460$10,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,096.32 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 14,989$10,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,042.9 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 13,246$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.15 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…30e5backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 12,862$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,459.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 9,714$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.68 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 9,500$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,419.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 9,061$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.41 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 8,805$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,930.72 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 8,700$6,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,003 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…6bd4backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 8,561$5,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,962.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 7,812$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.63 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 7,634$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,885.76 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 6,964$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.55 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 6,943$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.63 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…240dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 6,650$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 5,616$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.61 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 5,390$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 5,025$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 3,773$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.25 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 3,716$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.25 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 3,708$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.27 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 3,468$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.44 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 3,458$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.6 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 3,434$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.84 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 3,000$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked San Francisco Giants | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995f…be04backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 2,880$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 2,806$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.04 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 2,582$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.15 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 2,539$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 2,341$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.44 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 2,302$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.27 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 2,174$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…b554backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 2,075$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 1,722$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.13 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -14.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 1,588$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.43 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cb…82a2backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,541$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +72%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 1,447$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.84 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 1,396$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.76 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…053abacked Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 1,338$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,302$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.19 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,141$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.55 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 975.03$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 920$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.6 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 896.35$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.22 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 792$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 772.18$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.18 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 731.45$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.44 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 709.7$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 675.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 649$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.85 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Francisco Giants | 65c | 625.45$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.95 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 620$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.2 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 4c | 574.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 566.13$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.83 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 544.86$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.64 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 535.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.45 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked San Francisco Giants | 32c | 531.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.71 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 530.53$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.94 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 522.2$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.65 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 520.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 508.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.6 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 501.06$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.18 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…fcf8backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 493.93$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 493$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.24 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 485.59$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.65 | 581 | 60.4%351 W · 230 L | +30.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 472.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 442.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 430.8$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 424.24$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked San Francisco Giants | 33c | 419$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.73 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 416.63$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.23 | 451 | 59.2%267 W · 184 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…cc05backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 397.67$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 394.4$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.51 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed San Francisco Giants | 76c | 392$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 386.24$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 371.13$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.07 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 370.59$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.59 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 359.87$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.93 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 350.26$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3f…54cdbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 350$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 348$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 875 | 52.7%461 W · 414 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 310$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 2.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.