TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e7f…2d2d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cinabacked Luca Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Winston-Salem Open: Luca Van Assche vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$59.92
US Open, Qualification WTA: Martyna Kubka vs Annika Penickovabacked Martyna Kubka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$95.2
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gauthier Onclin vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.36
ITF M15 Mar del Plata Men: Tobia Grandinetti vs Santiago De la Fuentebacked Santiago De la Fuente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$89.3
Kingston 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$63.04
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$67.62
ITF M15 Mar del Plata Men: Vito Antonio Darderi vs Lautaro Rochabacked Lautaro Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Sebastian Gorzny vs Marc Polmansbacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.54
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$251.6
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$110.6
ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Bautista de la Pena vs Nathan Coxbacked Nathan Cox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$31.2
ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Felipe Vazquez vs Felipe de Diosbacked Felipe de Dios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$128.59
Prague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.46
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.05
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$294.66
ITF Frankfurt: Adrian Oetzbach vs David Fixbacked David Fix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
National Bank Open: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Filsbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.37
National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Sebastian Baezbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$347.7
ITF Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Rhys Lawlorbacked Lui Maxted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$157.18
ITF Eupen: Pieter De Lange vs Matthieu Chambonnierebacked Matthieu Chambonniere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$128.7
National Bank Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Talia Gibsonbacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
National Bank Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.05
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Katherine Sebovbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$41.22
Plovdiv 2: Franco Ribero vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Franco Ribero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.8
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2512%3 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick16cpaid+116.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,858.54
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+4,247.8%+$19,540
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+566.7%+$1,700
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,887.44
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,986.55
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$4,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$4,989.34
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,951.49
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,033.8
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,462.28
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$324.91
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,760
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$631.06
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200.26
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$718.31
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.39
Will Trump say "Riviera" or "Resort" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.33
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+300%+$43.5
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.9
All 25 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+451.9%+$1,391.97
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$333.5
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+239.6%+$409.2
Lighter Airdrop on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Lighter Airdrop on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$82.07
Lighter Airdrop on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35.45
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$917.35
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$199
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$680
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$335.49
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.92
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.95
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$343.99
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+129.4%+$18.96
Will Alexandra Leitão be elected Mayor of Lisbon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.03
Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-89%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.15
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.65
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.56
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$471.82
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.3%+$457.14
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.55
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.14
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Ethereum reach $4,900 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Ethereum dip to $4,100 October 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will Ethereum dip to $4,300 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$210.08
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.56
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.9
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$71.51
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.8
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.22
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.6
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$91.44
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$171.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick5cpaid+1,685.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick4cpaid+880.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-38.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$159.81
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$230.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+72.4%+$210.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC WWC: Australia vs. Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS (BO3)backed AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Konyaspor: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,125.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.