World Politics · resolved market
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0347c613517147c30296e44f3b7657c594bec7af1e69a29c8a418ed78d827a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,282,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,282,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7191…9a72backed Yes | 0c | 150,400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…d73abacked Yes | 0c | 131,217$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…b76ebacked Yes | 0c | 126,985$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…969ebacked Yes | 0c | 102,275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…d4aebacked Yes | 0c | 100,954$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…76a7backed Yes | 0c | 79,070$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…d4a6backed Yes | 0c | 73,300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…3ccfbacked Yes | 0c | 67,600$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…5ef6backed Yes | 0c | 66,720$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f81…ad40backed Yes | 0c | 63,911$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc63…561abacked Yes | 0c | 59,065$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd071…92ccbacked Yes | 0c | 59,065$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…4dd5backed Yes | 0c | 58,420$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf553…bb03backed Yes | 0c | 56,030$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…1681backed Yes | 0c | 47,390$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a13…7f70backed Yes | 0c | 46,830$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb419…1228backed Yes | 0c | 46,200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…c4ecbacked Yes | 0c | 42,547$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…317bbacked Yes | 0c | 40,820$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…245dbacked Yes | 0c | 39,239$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…dfbebacked Yes | 0c | 38,797$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…7888backed Yes | 0c | 35,895$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…3ca7backed Yes | 0c | 35,895$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 34,170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfba…4691backed Yes | 0c | 33,330$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…e88abacked Yes | 0c | 33,330$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd70a…baf2backed Yes | 0c | 30,217$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…a4adbacked Yes | 0c | 29,757$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…085fbacked Yes | 0c | 29,314$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…4272backed Yes | 0c | 29,090$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…e2b5backed Yes | 0c | 28,330$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8a…d59dbacked Yes | 0c | 27,690$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…a53abacked Yes | 0c | 24,851$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…8312backed Yes | 0c | 24,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…4d1ebacked Yes | 0c | 23,530$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…5f93backed Yes | 0c | 23,524$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…4489backed Yes | 0c | 23,524$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…1b08backed Yes | 0c | 23,524$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3d…2345backed Yes | 0c | 23,524$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71d…1662backed Yes | 0c | 23,524$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea4…5f23backed Yes | 0c | 23,524$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a01…70f9backed Yes | 0c | 23,150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0213…7bd0backed Yes | 0c | 22,935$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…e72fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,893$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x603b…3288backed Yes | 0c | 22,834$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b59dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,712$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…b99bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,569$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…484ebacked Yes | 0c | 22,490$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…7c5cbacked Yes | 0c | 22,399$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…8215backed Yes | 0c | 22,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…18d8backed Yes | 0c | 22,173$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1855…af43backed Yes | 0c | 22,147$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba9…2babbacked Yes | 0c | 22,139$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…bfa7backed Yes | 0c | 22,120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9458…1935backed Yes | 0c | 21,915$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebc…2c9cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,664$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…2971backed Yes | 0c | 21,638$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c05…54fabacked Yes | 0c | 21,638$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…67cebacked Yes | 0c | 21,632$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…e7fabacked Yes | 0c | 21,570$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…283bbacked Yes | 0c | 21,519$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…fe74backed Yes | 0c | 21,322$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7d…5e9ebacked Yes | 0c | 21,314$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358d…ca91backed Yes | 0c | 21,273$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…144dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,118$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bd…3352backed Yes | 0c | 21,087$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aff…a623backed Yes | 0c | 21,063$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…1092backed Yes | 0c | 20,313$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…77babacked Yes | 0c | 18,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…1a1fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dd…8533backed Yes | 0c | 15,897$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…f67ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,794$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…ac2ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,794$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad5…04f1backed Yes | 0c | 15,794$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae64…fe29backed Yes | 0c | 14,220$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…884cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,900$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…295abacked Yes | 0c | 12,887$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3026backed Yes | 0c | 12,887$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…9471backed Yes | 0c | 12,887$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…3531backed Yes | 0c | 12,887$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f9…1dbfbacked Yes | 0c | 12,887$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e58…d4fcbacked Yes | 0c | 12,585$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 12,476$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…c2e5backed Yes | 0c | 12,440$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…a600backed Yes | 0c | 12,208$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…f126backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a1…6d31backed Yes | 0c | 11,573$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…6f30backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ea…eab6backed Yes | 0c | 10,620$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…0c7cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,121$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…0339backed Yes | 0c | 10,111$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0237…9292backed Yes | 0c | 10,102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…0764backed Yes | 0c | 10,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…39eabacked Yes | 0c | 10,074$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb217…4aa4backed Yes | 0c | 10,042$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…70b6backed Yes | 0c | 10,008$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de5…3d0fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 0c | 5,866$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2309…9b8ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?this page
- Will the next Dutch government be CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be another combination?No won
- Will there be no coalition by October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.