World Politics · resolved market
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2064296b3739eb6e7b983f77c24ec6c92b2db9f2c91304f98e359976acbfd290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $841,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $681,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $841,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a4…6356backed Yes | 56c | 86,775$48,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,499.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 41,267$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 0cpaid | +2,830.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 19c | 33,992$6,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,584.03 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 24,333$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.73 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 7c | 21,806$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.64 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 4c | 10,455$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.98 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…1c08backed Yes | 6c | 7,843$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.27 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 48c | 7,260$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,775.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 1c | 6,781$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 5,999$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd256…b945backed Yes | 20c | 5,788$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.43 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 9c | 5,645$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 5,581$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.74 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…8353backed Yes | 5c | 4,716$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…92b9backed Yes | 4c | 4,687$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,486$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.07 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…51b4backed No | 45c | 4,414$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 1c | 4,165$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,123.21 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.27per pick | 8cpaid | +854.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 2,978$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…1ab0backed Yes | 4c | 2,938$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…635abacked Yes | 8c | 2,930$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…a7a4backed Yes | 0c | 2,919$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 0c | 2,901$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9814…560fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,895$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…26d9backed Yes | 0c | 2,889$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…6157backed Yes | 1c | 2,840$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1454…efd5backed Yes | 1c | 2,808$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ba…65b6backed Yes | 0c | 2,764$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1acf…c201backed Yes | 0c | 2,742$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…e3e4backed Yes | 1c | 2,729$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c3d2backed Yes | 0c | 2,727$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 2,718$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8a…93a1backed Yes | 1c | 2,687$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee36…6967backed Yes | 1c | 2,675$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…2b6cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,672$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f09…9a11backed Yes | 0c | 2,671$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…7a5fbacked Yes | 0c | 2,667$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…ed96backed Yes | 1c | 2,623$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 17c | 2,478$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.41 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 3c | 2,439$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe209…3ebfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,404$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.61per pick | 14cpaid | +693.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…6d37backed Yes | 5c | 2,397$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 2,389$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098a…e7adbacked Yes | 7c | 2,158$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +364.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,118$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.03 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6651…e3ebbacked No | 48c | 1,877$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f58…129abacked Yes | 9c | 1,823$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +582.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 1,783$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.35 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8f…5fe6backed Yes | 11c | 1,678$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 1,610$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205e…1925backed No | 56c | 1,582$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…c37cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,540$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 14c | 1,428$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.08 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +15.3wins | +0.21per pick | 15cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7768…21a7backed Yes | 40c | 1,372$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…f16bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,294$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…c0eebacked Yes | 36c | 1,294$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…c232backed Yes | 6c | 1,271$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab32…98bcbacked Yes | 47c | 1,225$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…4e2fbacked No | 56c | 1,155$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae8…0a59backed Yes | 5c | 1,144$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 1,139$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7522…7d40backed Yes | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 998.05$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.7 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 70c | 973.65$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.06 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3c…1d60backed Yes | 5c | 962.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked Yes | 11c | 949.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…f471backed Yes | 16c | 929.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 4c | 916.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…4950backed No | 66c | 912.69$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…ec2fbacked Yes | 6c | 899$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…df60backed Yes | 22c | 898.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…276abacked Yes | 29c | 897.01$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 57c | 894.37$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.35 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45a9…309dbacked Yes | 9c | 842.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…6202backed Yes | 10c | 815.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…d015backed Yes | 10c | 803.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e7…0788backed Yes | 6c | 759.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…7346backed No | 53c | 758.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…2da6backed No | 69c | 723.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc28…53e5backed Yes | 6c | 708.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3e71backed Yes | 3c | 685.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…7acdbacked Yes | 8c | 662.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 4c | 646.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 7c | 592$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…9d93backed No | 51c | 591.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x753a…0e2cbacked Yes | 40c | 572.41$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…d71cbacked Yes | 18c | 559.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 32c | 550.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…d9b4backed No | 52c | 546.87$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 9c | 538.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd042…a60abacked Yes | 3c | 535.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 48c | 525.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…2802backed Yes | 11c | 500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…b63bbacked Yes | 5c | 498.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b20…c6e9backed Yes | 4c | 486.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d7…e193backed Yes | 3c | 480.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +452.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?this page
- Will the next Dutch government be CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + D66?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + JA21?No won
- Will the next Dutch government be another combination?No won
- Will there be no coalition by October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.