TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x709f…635a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Spread: Suns (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$28.04
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+76.7%+$34.59
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$192
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$10.64
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+44.7%+$23.17
Lakers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$53.57
Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+40.9%+$16.62
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.04
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$346.31
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.99
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.95
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.99
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$96.22
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$92.86
Spread: Lions (-8.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.27
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.89
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.7%+$12.02
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Rams vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Spread: Bears (-4.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+94.2%+$18.84
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.64
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+70.1%+$154.92
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.7%+$18.47
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+55%+$68.6
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$31.85
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.1%+$35.05
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.7%+$45.52
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.15
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-65.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$221.33
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.9%+$11.15
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.4%+$15.78
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$57.37
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will another Louvre heist robber be arrested by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Alabama (-10.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$12.95
Spread: Duke (-9.5)backed Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.9
Colorado vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+35.7%+$29.98
UAB Blazers vs. Ricebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25.9%+$5.16
Houston vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+77.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-58.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.15
Spread: NEC (-0.5)backed NEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+156.4%+$15.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+71.5%+$11.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+524%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+524%+$91.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25.7%+$5.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Sarah's Oil" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$622.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$34.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.