Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b96d274e3ff33a1bc7d65ea9d92b7e0d28e529202620282d6b24fd6d450dfb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 8,470$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.49 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 52c | 8,432$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.86 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 56c | 4,005$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 52c | 1,478$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.44 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 58c | 1,267$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.86 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…bdf1backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 55c | 910$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 164.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 143.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…681cbacked Yes | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 75c | 137.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 46c | 129.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 57c | 116.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…a4a9backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 56c | 63.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 44c | 58.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 29.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…635abacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-11-06?No won
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.