South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e7c54117747d90029e6569c62539f76797baf450e9dc93035cee3fdb3982735
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 39,986$14,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,696.47 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 74c | 19,912$14,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,276.59 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 53c | 12,187$6,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,727.86 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 52c | 5,042$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.93 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 50c | 4,218$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.1 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 4,013$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.07 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 55c | 2,732$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.47 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 54c | 2,645$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.32 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 2,605$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.71 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 39c | 2,532$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.24 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 53c | 1,175$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.54 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 35c | 1,040$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.57 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 51c | 843.14$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 50c | 330.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.19 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 54c | 237$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 56c | 132.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 31c | 128.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 24c | 120.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 50c | 100.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8279…7edcbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…1466backed Yes | 50c | 79.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 78.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…07acbacked Yes | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…1aacbacked Yes | 49c | 51.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…d92abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…635abacked No | 51c | 48.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 68c | 48.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 51c | 37.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a4…37a6backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Yes | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed No | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a67…c830backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 54c | 18.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
- Will CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.