TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a67…c830

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.56
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+203%+$26.8
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$18
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.3
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.88
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.72
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+143.9%+$14.75
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.44
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+132.6%+$13.68
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$11.66
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$3.78
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$2.86
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.73
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.13
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33%+$6.2
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.6%+$12.72
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.75
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.6
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$15.75
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$37.6
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$17.91
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.6
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.62
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.36
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.14
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$5.92
Rams vs. 49ersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+35.2%+$5.43
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$8.24
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.44
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.94
Panthers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.25
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+185.7%+$18.85
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.32
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20.35
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.07
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15.64
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+132.6%+$13.4
Kraken vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.69
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$15.64
All 17 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$37.02
UTEP vs. Missouri Statebacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
West Virginia vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.69
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.05
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25.03
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+233.3%+$23.45
Spread: Texas A&M (-6.5)backed Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
LSU vs. Alabamabacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.29
Tulane vs. Memphisbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+156.4%+$15.68
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+88.7%+$8.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$19.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+69.5%+$9.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+57%+$13.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.