NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06957544a18822cfd29dfb3d73a44cb06f49bfab35286f2cd0dbee4cc75153fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 51c | 19,998$10,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,856.33 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae38…66aabacked Over | 49c | 11,700$5,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,967 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cf…a6bcbacked Over | 49c | 8,300$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…a2dcbacked Under | 51c | 8,200$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…664bbacked Over | 49c | 7,800$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…b69abacked Under | 51c | 7,400$3,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,774 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…95dfbacked Under | 51c | 6,900$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Over | 49c | 5,498$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.95 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f9cdbacked Under | 51c | 5,300$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 4,040$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.6 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 3,984$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.56 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 2,997$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.5 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 2,387$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.42 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 2,047$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.03 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 38c | 1,127$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.63 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 19c | 980$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.8 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 473$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.79 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9c…5176backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…e4f7backed Under | 50c | 312.92$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 52c | 193.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 184.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 50c | 173.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 162$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 137.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 50c | 137.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 52c | 132.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 52c | 108$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…7b12backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…f0ebbacked Over | 51c | 97.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 49c | 78.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 64.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…5b88backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…9696backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…8d87backed Under | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.45per pick | 60cpaid | -77%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2523…71cabacked Over | 51c | 22.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a67…c830backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f8…148fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. Red WingsRed Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.