TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,046,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,211,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,046,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 789 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xccb2…8586backed Yes76c124,808$94,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,854.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No24c73,862$17,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,134.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No24c71,097$17,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,033.983151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes75c61,799$46,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,365.9558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No23c56,896$13,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,840.011580%12 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+102.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No34c53,423$17,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,428.245545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes76c50,621$38,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,472.263357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes75c50,000$37,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,65028543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No25c48,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,0001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No25c40,960$10,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,7201838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No24c37,240$8,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,302.43737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No24c27,904$6,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,235.4210536.2%38 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes35c21,000$7,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,31012848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No24c20,460$4,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,549.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dbf…53bebacked Yes77c19,383$14,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,925.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes76c17,165$13,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,123.7326645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No7c14,756$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,698.457132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No24c13,200$3,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0321844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No33c12,821$4,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,586.898647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes27c12,203$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,307.561,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No67c12,058$8,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,924.5644033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes75c10,666$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.55466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No25c10,593$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,909.656541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No25c10,560$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9203447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f4…bbabbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc8…0fa2backed Yes77c9,970$7,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,668.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes76c9,960$7,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,524.8226047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes62c8,016$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No24c7,920$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,019.23743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes32c7,385$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4006450%32 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No22c7,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,459.91435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+73.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No23c6,708$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,154.9212352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No24c6,513$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,949.54323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes77c6,290$4,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,843.238748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No67c5,625$3,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.3217466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.997750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked No23c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.91250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+70.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Yes35c4,800$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6801323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes78c4,615$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6001770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No60c4,238$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.9634342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb20…d0bdbacked Yes76c4,171$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,170650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes76c4,000$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,04013548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No22c3,996$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.7815032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No25c3,832$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8742532%8 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes77c3,604$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.5112644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes43c3,404$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.4824963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Yes77c3,207$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.492552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8394…b722backed Yes78c3,205$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes76c3,180$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.85066%33 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes67c3,020$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.63348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked No6c3,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8205046%23 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfdd…07c7backed No3c2,989$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.25250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick3cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes77c2,963$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.3129746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9518…c9e3backed Yes51c2,929$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes24c2,736$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.198523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Yes77c2,666$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.52862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No24c2,640$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.742231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Yes78c2,578$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes77c2,300$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7713961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes79c2,295$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.8546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No49c2,270$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.5523637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed No23c2,176$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.371850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes75c2,055$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.186451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No23c2,048$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.1740222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No24c2,020$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.93141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No62c2,006$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.747834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Yes78c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No25c1,988$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4914235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes77c1,872$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.951127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes44c1,803$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.1820643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Yes35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51aa…10dabacked Yes35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes64c1,408$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.2510628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes62c1,400$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8682326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf75e…c325backed No23c1,400$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+211.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes77c1,334$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.1814955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No22c1,330$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.729149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd43…df4cbacked Yes77c1,301$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00220%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Yes77c1,300$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0061764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+65.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes78c1,282$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-46.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No58c1,270$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.152737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes71c1,262$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.452850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes67c1,243$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.753748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No65c1,198$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.193647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No23c1,193$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.53132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes62c1,136$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Yes77c1,100$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.992352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Yes47c1,098$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.81540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes62c1,048$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.674254.8%23 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+47.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No52c1,029$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.029754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No55c1,025$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.3260136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7805950.8%30 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed No6c1,000$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9402055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6205248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504812.5%6 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x648a…b4a6backed No23c999.97$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+117.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3b…9df1backed Yes63c984.94$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes77c951.6$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.736251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.