TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$276,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,599 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Yes14c41,000$5,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,259.981580%12 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+102.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No70c33,203$23,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,373.721662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes15c28,616$4,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,323.951861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+78.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes79c16,276$12,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.6621938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes14c13,285$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,424.8310443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c11,442$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,519.781,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes19c10,698$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,631.861,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes14c4,360$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.696251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes14c3,640$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.41520%3 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes14c3,024$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.8838748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes14c2,500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.998146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No29c2,451$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.658523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes14c2,290$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.6829746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes9c2,052$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.283228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Yes15c1,667$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.671442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+55.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes14c1,357$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.146225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa43…22f3backed Yes14c1,336$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.711735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes5c1,301$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23110717.8%19 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes15c1,273$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.334233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes15c1,180$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0033961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…dbe6backed Yes14c1,107$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.821861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+105.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No58c1,075$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.7223637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8502429.2%7 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+79.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f3…394dbacked Yes14c997.06$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.47520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes36c881.03$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.663132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes38c842.78$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.1420643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes36c754.05$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.0121460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No53c734.97$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.059550.5%48 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked No79c724.15$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.872860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes17c722.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.575135.3%18 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.294812.5%6 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No19c701.22$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3438935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Yes15c664.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.573357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes14c659.92$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.5326047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4422…1cb6backed Yes31c649.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.956100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+86.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Yes31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.163138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes6c533.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.331233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+147.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No71c530$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.7510660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes65c500$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.081788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdb5…b3cfbacked Yes15c470$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.5616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x313d…b795backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.67850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+113.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes15c399.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.32138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes65c387.33$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5717466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes8c360.17$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.624963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x0652…9134backed Yes30c329.15$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.41520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581520%3 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked No11c300.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.651414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes14c286.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.482626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes14c286.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.382642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed No4c258.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.033066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes14c235.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.71714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No11c234.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.366940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes31c227.9$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.254831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed No16c214.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.382035%7 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick14cpaid+500.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Yes14c214.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.291450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes25c208.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.87580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+107.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes5c200$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1906628.8%19 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1422245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes20c197.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.078633.7%29 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No11c191.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.887238.9%28 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No70c190.61$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.424854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes12c187.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6817322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes28c178$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8212344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Yes15c176.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.171250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd766…5eb1backed Yes15c176.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.17875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+87.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes14c173.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.815541.8%23 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes14c171.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes15c166.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.673923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.292343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes13c160.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.316127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6791…b1febacked Yes21c158.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No76c155.59$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5416036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.861330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacbc…f6bfbacked Yes14c138.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+124.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes14c135.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.712951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.333636.1%13 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes10c131.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.43911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d17…55f1backed Yes20c121.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes31c111.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.611428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe428…f37ebacked Yes14c109.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+266.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes13c109.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.114827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes14c107.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.14633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db9…c73bbacked No71c105$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.55850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9d…527bbacked Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+258.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859426.6%25 W · 69 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No65c99.59$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.027834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1598…6a36backed Yes15c98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+123.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.751662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Yes33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.912259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes31c90.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.113953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed No48c89.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.651030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5286…6dcbbacked Yes14c89.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.79520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Yes14c87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.822552%13 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.963828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Yes15c86.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.551250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefef…94b8backed Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.