TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7cb0…fafc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3129%9 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$90.74
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$132.08
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$63.41
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$83.11
Will West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+244.8%+$146.82
Will Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100.15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$44.96
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$47.78
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+300%+$150
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+597.5%+$212.72
Will Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$77.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.95
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102.72
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$242.44
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$325.36
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.72
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.9
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34.41
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+222.6%+$76.61
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$155.51
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$112.11
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+284.6%+$142.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+180.6%+$180.56
All 14 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$154.62
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand - Who wins the toss?backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$56.17
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
T20 World Cup: India vs Zimbabwebacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$110.92
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$189.7
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$99.95
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$72.4
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+323.3%+$76.71
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+988.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.25
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+2,076.4%+$269.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$244.38
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$152.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.